Match Info

FRANCE: LNB - ROUND 11

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Palais des Sports de Pau (Pau)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez		Nanterre

	1	2
	1.86	1.95
	1.78	1.95
	1.85	1.95
	1.81	1.89
	1.93	1.92
	1.84	2
	1.88	1.94	Watch
	1.83	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.75)	1.94 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez
51.2%

Nanterre
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Nanterre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nanterre than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.7%	0%	5.3%

Élan Béarnais Pau Orthez - Nanterre Predictions

Users Predictions: Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:83

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pau-Orthez won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Pau-Orthez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Pau-Orthez won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 1549-1668.

Including matches at home between the teams Pau-Orthez won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 733-685.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez
French LNB
27.11.22	ASVEL Basket - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	91:79 ✺
19.11.22	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Gravelines	91:80 ✺
05.11.22	Cholet Basket - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	93:83 ✺
29.10.22	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Le Portel	84:89 ✺
22.10.22	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Paris	74:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLL
- JSF Nanterre
French LNB
26.11.22	Nanterre - Strasbourg	71:81 ✺
French Cup Basketball
23.11.22	Nancy - Nanterre	69:63 ✺
French LNB
20.11.22	Metropolitans 92 - Nanterre	92:85 ✺
04.11.22	Le Portel - Nanterre	77:66 ✺
29.10.22	Nanterre - Gravelines	103:95 OT (84:84) ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

French LNB
19.04.22	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Nanterre	75:78
08.01.22	Nanterre - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	101:77
20.05.21	Nanterre - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	115:77
27.03.21	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Nanterre	86:79
27.11.19	Nanterre - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	101:89
28.05.19	Nanterre - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	84:69
26.05.19	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Nanterre	76:64

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