Match Info

TBL - Round 10

Date: 2 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: BJK Akatlar Arena (Istanbul)


	İTÜ		Ankaragücü

	1	2
	1.84	1.84
	2	1.68
	1.62	2.2
	2.48	1.43
	2.15	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.64)	1.76 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İTÜ
46.6%

Ankaragücü
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İTÜ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that İTÜ's form might have worsened.

Ankaragücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ankaragücü's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İTÜ than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for İTÜ, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ankaragücü, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

İTÜ - Ankaragücü Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. İTÜ will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Ankaragücü will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ankaragücü: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. İTÜ (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ankaragücü (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Akyuz E.	22. Ayyildiz T.
21. Anosike O.	2. Cameron B.
5. Baris A.	99. Gokturk E.
11. Birkeser A.	12. Karalar Y.
3. Crews T.	00. Mbala B.
Substitutes
7. Acar B.	9. Bozveli D.
33. Camgoz O.	5. Has E.
0. Cumalioglu Y.	88. Oray K.
15. Kara M.	10. Pinarer I. (C)
22. Olmaz A. (C)	6. Sayin C.
12. Oztekin E.	55. Yosmaoglu S.
4. Saraloglu U.
Coaches
. Tuzcukaya E.

Preview

İTÜ is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ankaragücü has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, İTÜ won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 252:233. (average 84:77.7).

Including home matches between the teams, İTÜ won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 157:146. (average 78.5:73).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İTÜ Spor
Turkish TBL
24.11.25	Cedi Osman Basketbol - İTÜ	83:79 ✺
09.11.25	Final Gençlik - İTÜ	91:72 ✺
03.11.25	İTÜ - Göztepe	85:87 ✺
26.10.25	Konya BBSK - İTÜ	81:77 ✺
19.10.25	İTÜ - Harem Spor	93:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLLW
- MKE Ankaragücü Basketball
Turkish TBL
21.11.25	Ankaragücü - Kipaş İstiklal	68:85 ✺
08.11.25	Ankaragücü - Darüşşafaka	79:73 ✺
31.10.25	TED Ankara Kolejliler - Ankaragücü	78:69 ✺
26.10.25	Ankaragücü - Kocaeli Kağıtspor	82:73 ✺
20.10.25	Gaziantep BB BT - Ankaragücü	102:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish TBL
15.02.25	Ankaragücü - İTÜ	87:95
28.10.24	İTÜ - Ankaragücü	72:66
24.03.24	İTÜ - Ankaragücü	85:80

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