Match Info

PORTUGAL: LFB Women - Round 11

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Pavilhao Municipal de Vagos (Vagos)


	AD Vagos		Madeira

	1	2
	1.91	1.75
			Watch
	1.87	1.78
	1.87	1.81	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.89	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.84)	1.79 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 139.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AD Vagos
48.9%

Madeira
51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for AD Vagos have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Madeira have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AD Vagos than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madeira than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

AD Vagos - Madeira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 71:71

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Brown K.	23. Brown-Haywood K.
21. Calvete M.	5. Lopes M.
32. Compton J.	3. Martinet M.
10. Goncalves C.	13. Silva L.
0. Rodrigues S.	17. Vargas M.
Substitutes
3. Cossa I.	11. Bohre F.
9. Felix I. (C)	8. Caldeira C. (C)
7. Leitao M.	19. Goncalves C.
16. Oliveira M.	10. Pires C.
27. Velarde I.	18. Sousa S.
Coaches
. Seco E.	. Silva F.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches AD Vagos won 3.

The competitors look crappy now.

AD Vagos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches AD Vagos won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 571:587 (average 63.4:65.2).

Including matches at home between the teams AD Vagos won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 324:315 (average 64.8:63).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Vagos
Portuguese LFB
08.12.24	Natação - AD Vagos	77:85 ✺
04.12.24	AD Vagos - Quinta Dos Lombos	69:92 ✺
30.11.24	Galitos - AD Vagos	90:78 ✺
24.11.24	AD Vagos - GDESSA Barreiro	53:78 ✺
17.11.24	AD Vagos - Sanjoanense	54:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLLL
- CAB Madeira Women
Portuguese LFB
07.12.24	Madeira - União Sportiva	66:56 ✺
01.12.24	Madeira - Benfica	65:101 ✺
24.11.24	Imortal - Madeira	96:84 ✺
17.11.24	Madeira - Esgueira	62:79 ✺
09.11.24	Barcelos - Madeira	69:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LFB
25.02.23	Madeira - AD Vagos	80:56
01.11.22	AD Vagos - Madeira	68:78
09.04.22	AD Vagos - Madeira	81:53
02.04.22	Madeira - AD Vagos	65:69
19.03.22	AD Vagos - Madeira	52:50
05.12.21	Madeira - AD Vagos	52:68
11.03.21	Madeira - AD Vagos	75:54

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