Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - WINNERS STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 5 March 2024, Tuesday

Location: Ano Liosia Olympic Hall (Athens)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	AEK Athens		Hapoel Holon

	1	2
	1.27	3.5	Watch
	1.36	2.9
	1.29	3.3	Watch
	1.32	3.53
	1.32	3.53
	1.3	3.4
	1.34	3.23	Watch
	1.29	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 (1.31)	3.34 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Athens
71.8%

Hapoel Holon
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Hapoel Holon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Holon than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

AEK Athens - Hapoel Holon Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. AEK will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Hapoel Holon will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:78

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Preview

AEK is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hapoel Holon is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

AEK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hapoel Holon have a series of guest games.

In this match AEK is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches AEK won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 239-252.

Including matches at home between the teams AEK won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 100-96.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Athens BC
Greek Basket League A1
02.03.24	PAOK - AEK Athens	85:94 ✺
Greek Cup Basketball
15.02.24	Panathinaikos - AEK Athens	79:72 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
12.02.24	AEK Athens - Panathinaikos	69:89 ✺
Champions League Basketball
06.02.24	AEK Athens - UCAM Murcia	79:84 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
03.02.24	Kolossos Rodou - AEK Athens	103:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL
- Hapoel Holon
Israeli Basketball Super League
02.03.24	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Holon	90:78 ✺
28.02.24	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Holon	72:73 ✺
17.02.24	Hapoel Holon - Hapoel Tel Aviv	98:90 ✺
14.02.24	Hapoel Haifa - Hapoel Holon	71:84 ✺
11.02.24	Bnei Herzliya - Hapoel Holon	75:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Basketball
30.01.24	Hapoel Holon - AEK Athens	79:68
05.01.21	Hapoel Holon - AEK Athens	77:71
04.11.20	AEK Athens - Hapoel Holon	100:96

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