Match Info

URUGUAY: LIGA URUGUAYA

Date: 13 January 2023, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Aguada (Montevideo) 🌤️ ...


	Aguada		Olimpia

	1	2
	1.22	3.75
	1.41	2.55
	1.3	3.33
	1.3	3.4
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.34	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.64)	3.21 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aguada
71%

Olimpia
29%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aguada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aguada's performance.

Olimpia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olimpia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aguada than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aguada that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olimpia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aguada - Olimpia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:77

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aguada won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Aguada have a series of guest games.

Aguada will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Aguada to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Aguada won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 1310-1307.

Including matches at home between the teams Aguada won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 479-478.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Aguada
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
10.01.23	Aguada - Goes	72:67 ✺
04.01.23	Larre Borges - Aguada	100:96 ✺
21.12.22	Defensor Sporting - Aguada	69:81 ✺
18.12.22	Biguá - Aguada	94:93 ✺
15.12.22	Hebraica y Macabi - Aguada	88:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLW
- CA Olimpia
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
10.01.23	Hebraica y Macabi - Olimpia	101:70 ✺
04.01.23	Olimpia - Trouville Montevideo	95:88 ✺
22.12.22	Olimpia - Nacional	64:83 ✺
16.12.22	Olimpia - Urupan de Pando	80:75 ✺
09.12.22	Urunday Universitario - Olimpia	78:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Liga Basketball
01.11.22	Olimpia - Aguada	62:83
Basketball South American League
13.10.22	Olimpia - Aguada	67:84
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
28.03.22	Olimpia - Aguada	95:83
10.01.22	Aguada - Olimpia	58:71
17.04.21	Olimpia - Aguada	92:76
16.11.20	Aguada - Olimpia	99:85
12.11.20	Olimpia - Aguada	83:66

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Aguada
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
30.10.26	Atenas - Aguada	✺

Aguada - Olimpia