Match Info

NORTH MACEDONIA: Prva Liga - Play Out - Round 4

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Nevena Georgieva Dunja (Skopje)


	Akademija FMP		Ohrid

	1	2
	1.2	3.9
	1.02	5.9
	1.03	4.91
	1.12	5.5
	1.06	6.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 ↓ (1.56)	5.35 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akademija FMP
83.1%

Ohrid
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akademija FMP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Akademija FMP's performance.

Ohrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ohrid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akademija FMP than the current prediction. (-26.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Akademija FMP that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ohrid than the current prediction. (+26.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ohrid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Akademija FMP - Ohrid Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 94:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dimitrovic L.	7. Dimitrievski D.
11. Durasevic J.	24. Dimovski L.
5. Masevski N.	10. Ibraimi T.
9. Petrovski L. (C)	13. Stolevski K.
12. Santana M.	77. Volkanovski I.
Substitutes
7. Ivanov D.	2. Bojovski V.
10. Pajic P.	22. Kuzmanoski H.
4. Sterjovski M.	99. Stojanoski H. (C)
	5. Stojanoski N.
Coaches
. Malinkov L.	. Stojanovski T.

Preview

Akademija FMP is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ohrid has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Akademija FMP will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Akademija FMP won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 189-176.

Including matches at home between the teams Akademija FMP won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 96-88.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akademija FMP
North Macedonian Super League Basketball
17.04.24	Akademija FMP - Kozuv	85:90 ✺
13.04.24	Vardar - Akademija FMP	94:92 OT ✺
05.04.24	Ohrid - Akademija FMP	88:93 ✺
30.03.24	Akademija FMP - KK MZT Skopje	67:105 ✺
27.03.24	Pelister - Akademija FMP	98:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWLL
- KK AV Ohrid
North Macedonian Super League Basketball
17.04.24	Ohrid - Vardar	72:80 ✺
13.04.24	Kozuv - Ohrid	91:59 ✺
05.04.24	Ohrid - Akademija FMP	88:93 ✺
30.03.24	Çair 2030 - Ohrid	98:74 ✺
25.03.24	Ohrid - TFT Skopje	78:89 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian Super League Basketball
05.04.24	Ohrid - Akademija FMP	88:93
24.12.23	Akademija FMP - Ohrid	96:88

Akademija FMP - Ohrid: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide