Match Info

Segunda FEB - Promotion - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Albacete		Ponferrada

	1	2
	1.36	2.8
	1.29	2.97
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.36)	2.89 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 151.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albacete
68.5%

Ponferrada
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albacete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Ponferrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albacete than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferrada than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Albacete - Ponferrada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:73

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Preview

First leg result: 74-73. Second leg.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Albacete has had a series of away games.

In this match, Albacete is the team to beat.

We predict that Albacete will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Albacete won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 290:297. (average 72.5:74.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Albacete won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 156:159. (average 78:79.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albacete Basket
Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
26.04.26	Ponferrada - Albacete	73:74 ✺
18.04.26	Salou - Albacete	80:83 ✺
12.04.26	CB Zaragoza - Albacete	81:77 ✺
04.04.26	Albacete - Castelló	45:73 ✺
28.03.26	Getafe - Albacete	67:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLW
- CB Ciudad de Ponferrada
Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
26.04.26	Ponferrada - Albacete	73:74 ✺
18.04.26	Ponferrada - Circulo Gijón	83:54 ✺
11.04.26	Morón - Ponferrada	87:75 ✺
04.04.26	Ponferrada - Logroño	86:84 OT ✺
29.03.26	Iraurgi SB - Ponferrada	85:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
26.04.26	Ponferrada - Albacete	73:74
18.01.25	Albacete - Ponferrada	88:85 OT
12.10.24	Ponferrada - Albacete	65:60
16.03.24	Albacete - Ponferrada	68:74

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