Match Info

Elite 2 - Round 20

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Espace Sport La Forêt (Gries)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	LNB


	Alliance Sport Alsace		Hermine de Nantes Atlantique

	1	2
	1.32	2.95
	1.35	3.15
	1.38	2.8	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.36	2.89
	1.41	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 (1.36)	2.92 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alliance Sport Alsace
68.1%

Hermine de Nantes Atlantique
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alliance Sport Alsace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Hermine de Nantes Atlantique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alliance Sport Alsace than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alliance Sport Alsace that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hermine de Nantes Atlantique than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hermine de Nantes Atlantique could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alliance Sport Alsace - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jeanne-Rose A. (C)	90. Bourhis L.
23. Malwaya K.	27. Dossou J.
1. Myles D.	28. Kangudia M.
10. Phillips N.	23. Mienandi H. (C)
33. Vujic M.	24. Van Eyck D.
Substitutes
77. Aranitovic P.	17. Boum R.
21. Hoeltzel R.	4. Dambreville E.
22. Kiefer M.	7. Gassaud D.
7. Noel G.	13. Manerlax C.
54. Tchoua H.	11. Riddley K.
Coaches
. Bogavac N.	. Valin R.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ASA won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, ASA is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, ASA won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 742:713. (average 82.4:79.2).

Including home matches between the teams, ASA won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 336:286. (average 84:71.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
9	ASA	2	1	1	173:169	0.500
18	Nantes	3	1	2	222:233	0.333

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alliance Sport Alsace
French Elite 2
16.01.26	Poitiers Basket 86 - Alliance Sport Alsace	100:87 ✺
09.01.26	Alliance Sport Alsace - Antibes	97:94 ✺
27.12.25	Orléans Loiret - Alliance Sport Alsace	75:67 ✺
23.12.25	Alliance Sport Alsace - Challans	94:81 ✺
19.12.25	Alliance Sport Alsace - ALM Évreux Basket	68:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWL
- Hermine de Nantes Atlantique
French Elite 2
16.01.26	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - ADA Blois	91:77 ✺
11.01.26	Quimper - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	76:71 ✺
27.12.25	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - ALM Évreux Basket	75:82 ✺
23.12.25	ASC Denain-Voltaire PH - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	93:86 ✺
19.12.25	Aix Maurienne - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	80:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Elite 2
31.10.25	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Alliance Sport Alsace	96:84
09.05.25	Alliance Sport Alsace - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	75:57
11.10.24	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Alliance Sport Alsace	85:97
12.04.24	Alliance Sport Alsace - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	100:77
12.01.24	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Alliance Sport Alsace	84:71
07.03.23	Alliance Sport Alsace - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	88:65
23.12.22	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Alliance Sport Alsace	80:83

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