Match Info

SPAIN: LEB ORO - ROUND 18

Date: 28 January 2023, Saturday


	Almansa		Cáceres CB

	1	2
	1.8	1.87
	1.8	1.9
	1.78	1.86
	1.86	1.96
	1.8	1.91
	1.82	1.94
	1.81	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.14)	1.9 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almansa
51.3%

Cáceres CB
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almansa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Almansa's performance.

Cáceres CB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cáceres CB might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almansa than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Almansa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cáceres CB than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cáceres CB could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Almansa - Cáceres CB Predictions

Users Predictions: Almansa will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:79

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Preview

Recent matches Almansa is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cáceres is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cáceres could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Almansa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 336-311.

Including matches at home between the teams Almansa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 93-69.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CB Almansa
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
20.01.23	Almansa - Albacete	88:85 OT ✺
14.01.23	Estela - Almansa	71:68 ✺
07.01.23	Almansa - Castelló	82:77 ✺
27.12.22	Gipuzkoa Basket - Almansa	79:53 ✺
20.12.22	Almansa - BC Andorra	75:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWLL
- Cáceres CB
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
21.01.23	Valladolid - Cáceres CB	90:86 OT ✺
13.01.23	Cáceres CB - Melilla	92:85 ✺
08.01.23	Básquet Coruña - Cáceres CB	95:87 ✺
27.12.22	Cáceres CB - Estudiantes	62:70 ✺
20.12.22	Força Lleida CE - Cáceres CB	94:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
07.10.22	Cáceres CB - Almansa	71:86
29.04.22	Cáceres CB - Almansa	95:89
19.01.22	Almansa - Cáceres CB	93:69
15.11.19	Cáceres CB - Almansa	76:68

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