Match Info

ITALY: Serie A2 Women - Gr. B - Play Offs - Final

Date: 29 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Palazzetto Comunale (Villafranca di Verona)


	Alpo Villafranca		Libertas Udine

	1	2
	1.65	2.05
	1.75	1.92
	1.76	2.08
	1.76	2.08
	1.8	1.91
	1.69	2.09	Watch
	1.75	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.94)	2.01 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 141.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alpo Villafranca
53.6%

Libertas Udine
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alpo Villafranca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alpo Villafranca's performance.

Libertas Udine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Libertas Udine might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alpo Villafranca than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertas Udine than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Alpo Villafranca - Libertas Udine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 72:72

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Frustaci S.	10. Bacchini C. (C)
11. Moriconi I.	5. Bovenzi G.
4. Nori A.	16. Cancelli A.
3. Parmesani F.	11. Katshitshi L.
5. Turel A.	14. Milani A.
Substitutes
13. Chiaretto O.	17. Agostini G.
6. Fiorentini F.	23. Bianchi M.
15. Furlani E.	24. Casella M.
14. Mancini G.	2. Ceppellotti S.
24. Pastore L.	00. Codolo G.
7. Rosignoli M. (C)	32. Gregori A.
12. Soglia S.	15. Shash T.
Coaches
. Soave N.	. Riga M.

Preview

2nd leg. Alpo VillaFranca leads series 1-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alpo Villafranca won 1.

Alpo Villafranca is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Libertas Udine is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Alpo Villafranca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 396-443.

Including matches at home between the teams Alpo Villafranca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 224-232.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alpo Villafranca DI Verona
Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group B
15.05.24	Panthers Roseto - Alpo Villafranca	62:68 ✺
11.05.24	Alpo Villafranca - Panthers Roseto	60:51 ✺
01.05.24	Empoli - Alpo Villafranca	53:65 ✺
27.04.24	Alpo Villafranca - Empoli	89:76 ✺
20.04.24	Alpo Villafranca - Treviso	61:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWL
- Libertas Udine
Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group B
15.05.24	Broni - Libertas Udine	48:51 ✺
01.05.24	La Spezia - Libertas Udine	67:82 ✺
27.04.24	Libertas Udine - La Spezia	78:66 ✺
20.04.24	Abano Terme - Libertas Udine	70:81 ✺
14.04.24	Libertas Udine - Umbertide	64:53 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group B
23.03.24	Libertas Udine - Alpo Villafranca	85:74
09.12.23	Alpo Villafranca - Libertas Udine	77:71
Italian Serie A2 North Basketball Women
04.02.23	Alpo Villafranca - Libertas Udine	67:77
29.10.22	Libertas Udine - Alpo Villafranca	65:42
23.04.22	Alpo Villafranca - Libertas Udine	80:84
16.02.22	Libertas Udine - Alpo Villafranca	61:56

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