Match Info

Date: 28 March 2022, Monday


	Alytaus Dzūkija		Nevėžis Kedainiai

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.5
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.37	2.8
	1.43	2.89
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.36	3.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.6)	2.82 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alytaus Dzūkija
66.9%

Nevėžis Kedainiai
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alytaus Dzūkija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alytaus Dzūkija's performance.

Nevėžis Kedainiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nevėžis Kedainiai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alytaus Dzūkija than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alytaus Dzūkija that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nevėžis Kedainiai than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nevėžis Kedainiai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alytaus Dzūkija - Nevėžis Kedainiai Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Alytaus will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Nevėžis will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:77

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alytaus won 4.

Recent matches Alytaus is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nevėžis has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alytaus could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Alytaus will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 35 head-to-head matches Alytaus won 25 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 2714-2524.

Including matches at home between the teams Alytaus won 14 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1409-1280.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alytaus Dzūkija
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
24.03.22	Prienai - Alytaus Dzūkija	70:77 ✺
07.03.22	Alytaus Dzūkija - Žalgiris Kaunas	63:74 ✺
17.02.22	Alytaus Dzūkija - Jonava	73:81 ✺
14.02.22	Lietkabelis - Alytaus Dzūkija	94:63 ✺
31.01.22	Alytaus Dzūkija - Juventus Utena	83:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLLW
- BC Nevėžis Kedainiai
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
19.03.22	Nevėžis Kedainiai - Pieno Zvaigzdes	85:92 ✺
12.03.22	Nevėžis Kedainiai - Šiauliai	66:79 ✺
05.03.22	Nevėžis Kedainiai - Rytas	85:109 ✺
15.02.22	Juventus Utena - Nevėžis Kedainiai	94:77 ✺
13.02.22	Rytas - Nevėžis Kedainiai	108:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
06.12.21	Nevėžis Kedainiai - Alytaus Dzūkija	83:78
11.10.21	Alytaus Dzūkija - Nevėžis Kedainiai	81:66
20.04.21	Nevėžis Kedainiai - Alytaus Dzūkija	57:71
20.03.21	Alytaus Dzūkija - Nevėžis Kedainiai	87:76
14.01.21	Nevėžis Kedainiai - Alytaus Dzūkija	78:82
07.11.20	Alytaus Dzūkija - Nevėžis Kedainiai	80:74
19.01.20	Alytaus Dzūkija - Nevėžis Kedainiai	86:87

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