Match Info

NKL - Round 7

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Alytus Sports and Recreation Center (Alytus) 🌤️ ...


	Alytaus Patriotai		Kretinga

	1	2
	1.83	1.85
	1.80	1.88	Watch
	1.67	2.11
	1.66	2.06	Watch
	1.62	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.69)	1.99 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alytaus Patriotai
53.7%

Kretinga
46.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.9%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alytaus Patriotai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Kretinga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alytaus Patriotai than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kretinga than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Alytaus Patriotai - Kretinga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Guscikas K. (C)	11. Bruzas E.
2. Hall C.	6. Danys E.
37. Jaskus E.	24. Metrikis K.
77. Valenta E.	5. Staniulis M.
9. Valunta S.	23. Young J.
Substitutes
51. Brodie D.	1. Grybas K.
28. Knyza P.	2. Sarauskas D.
24. Nepas N.	55. Warren J.
11. Poska P.	13. Zabita R. (C)
4. Sabaliauskas T.	8. Ziubrys J.
21. Stankevicius T.
5. Williams J.
Coaches
. Marcinkevicius K.	. Mikalocius A.

Preview

Patriotai has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Kretinga is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
12	Alytaus Patriotai	9	4	5	760:791	4
15	Kretinga	8	1	7	643:723	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alytaus Patriotai
Lietuvos NKL
17.10.26	Šilutė - Alytaus Patriotai	92:77 ✺
15.10.26	Alytaus Patriotai - Vytis Šakiai	110:105 AET ✺
10.10.26	Alytaus Patriotai - Kauno Atletas	86:75 ✺
08.10.26	Alytaus Patriotai - Sūduva	80:87 AET ✺
01.10.26	Jurbarkas-Karys - Alytaus Patriotai	96:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWLL
- BC Kretinga
Lietuvos NKL
17.10.26	Kauno Atletas - Kretinga	72:84 ✺
15.10.26	Kretinga - Sūduva	83:88 ✺
10.10.26	Kretinga - Vilniaus Stekas	89:98 ✺
08.10.26	Plunges Olimpas - Kretinga	98:85 ✺
03.10.26	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Kretinga	84:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alytaus Patriotai
Lietuvos NKL
31.10.26	Rytas 2 - Alytaus Patriotai	✺
- BC Kretinga
Lietuvos NKL
31.10.26	Omega Tauras - Kretinga	✺

Alytaus Patriotai - Kretinga