Match Info

TBL - Play Offs - Final

Date: 19 May 2025, Monday

Location: Mamak Belediyesi Spor Salonu (Ankara)


	Ankaragücü		Esenler Erokspor

	1	2
	1.85	1.83
	1.71	1.97
	1.76	1.99
	1.77	1.94
	1.83	1.83
	1.75	1.98
	1.71	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.83)	1.93 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ankaragücü
52.2%

Esenler Erokspor
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ankaragücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Esenler Erokspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esenler Erokspor than the current prediction. (+3%)

Ankaragücü - Esenler Erokspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Elledy C. J.	00. Crawford J.
9. Ercan C.	27. Erulku T.
77. Mentese S.	7. Kandemir H.
0. Veal M.	32. Sarikaya Y.
15. Yapar H. (C)	11. Simmons J.
Substitutes
11. Avci H.	41. Akyel M.
35. Berke A.	9. Bayar B.
99. Erol A.	23. Genc A.
23. Ozalp M.	21. Gorur M. (C)
34. Senturk S.	3. Ozdogan M.
25. Sonmez D.	22. Sinirlioglu B.
4. Uzuner A.	4. Uzun H.

Preview

Esenler Erokspor leads series 2-0. 3rd leg.

Ankaragücü has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Esenler Erokspor is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Esenler Erokspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Esenler Erokspor will win today's game, with odds of 1.81.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ankaragücü won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 385:375. (average 77:75).

Including home match between the teams, Ankaragücü won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 78:84.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKE Ankaragücü Basketball
Turkish TBL
16.05.25	Esenler Erokspor - Ankaragücü	76:63 ✺
14.05.25	Esenler Erokspor - Ankaragücü	89:81 ✺
10.05.25	Ankaragücü - Konya BBSK	81:54 ✺
07.05.25	Konya BBSK - Ankaragücü	90:79 ✺
04.05.25	Ankaragücü - Konya BBSK	84:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLW
- Esenler Erokspor Basketball
Turkish TBL
16.05.25	Esenler Erokspor - Ankaragücü	76:63 ✺
14.05.25	Esenler Erokspor - Ankaragücü	89:81 ✺
06.05.25	Cayirova - Esenler Erokspor	76:89 ✺
03.05.25	Esenler Erokspor - Cayirova	105:80 ✺
30.04.25	Balıkesir - Esenler Erokspor	77:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish TBL
16.05.25	Esenler Erokspor - Ankaragücü	76:63
14.05.25	Esenler Erokspor - Ankaragücü	89:81
10.03.25	Esenler Erokspor - Ankaragücü	72:85
17.11.24	Ankaragücü - Esenler Erokspor	78:84
06.02.24	Esenler Erokspor - Ankaragücü	54:78

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