Match Info

TBL - Round 21

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: TOBB ETÜ Spor Salonu (Ankara)


	Ankaragücü		Fenerbahçe 2

	1	2
	1.53	2.25
	1.53	2.25
	1.66	2.06
	1.62	2.2
	1.59	2.09
	1.57	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.65)	2.18 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ankaragücü
58%

Fenerbahçe 2
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ankaragücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Fenerbahçe 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ankaragücü that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe 2 than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fenerbahçe 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ankaragücü - Fenerbahçe 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Altunbey T. (C)	9. Berk K.
2. Cameron B.	8. Biberovic F.
12. Karalar Y.	6. Encu B.
1. Kay T.	35. Medley-Bacon B.
00. Mbala B.	11. Woods H.
Substitutes
22. Ayyildiz T.	1. Bulut U.
16. Col E.	7. Demir D.
99. Gokturk E.	12. Demirtas A.
5. Has E.	0. Ersin Erfa M.
10. Pinarer I.	24. Gokcek H.
14. Tekin R.	77. Yanci K. (C)
55. Yosmaoglu S.
Coaches
. Uner H.	. Ugurata O.

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Fenerbahçe 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ankaragücü has had a series of away games.

Ankaragücü will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ankaragücü won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 341:295. (average 85.3:73.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ankaragücü won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 182:150. (average 91:75).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
12	Fenerbahce 2	5	2	3	349:383	7
16	MKE Ankaragucu	4	1	3	300:386	5

Last Results with these Odds

Fenerbahçe 2 - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 44.69%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKE Ankaragücü Basketball
Turkish TBL
25.01.26	Bordo - Ankaragücü	81:67 ✺
04.01.26	Cedi Osman Basketbol - Ankaragücü	107:83 ✺
27.12.25	Cayirova - Ankaragücü	96:72 ✺
22.12.25	Final Gençlik - Ankaragücü	69:80 ✺
18.12.25	Ankaragücü - Göztepe	84:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLLWW
- Fenerbahçe 2 Basketball
Turkish TBL
24.01.26	Fenerbahçe 2 - Final Gençlik	74:56 ✺
09.01.26	Göztepe - Fenerbahçe 2	95:79 ✺
03.01.26	Fenerbahçe 2 - Konya BBSK	94:98 ✺
28.12.25	Fenerbahçe 2 - Harem Spor	85:92 ✺
21.12.25	Balıkesir - Fenerbahçe 2	72:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish TBL
11.10.25	Fenerbahçe 2 - Ankaragücü	67:73
19.04.25	Fenerbahçe 2 - Ankaragücü	78:86
22.12.24	Ankaragücü - Fenerbahçe 2	85:66
02.02.24	Ankaragücü - Fenerbahçe 2	97:84

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