Match Info

Superliga

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Pallati Sportit Flamurtari (Vlorë)


	Apolonia Fier		Tirana

	1	2
	1.53	2.25
	1.76	1.92	Watch
	1.55	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.74)	2.16 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Apolonia Fier
57.2%

Tirana
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Apolonia Fier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Apolonia Fier's performance.

Tirana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tirana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Apolonia Fier than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Apolonia Fier that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tirana than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tirana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Apolonia Fier - Tirana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Lame K.	14. Hysenagolli E.
10. Lloshi A.	13. Ndreca G.
21. Nakuci E.	23. Skendaj S.
6. Shkurti O.	10. Strazimiri K.
5. Tegu X. (C)	5. Vogli R. (C)
Substitutes
25. Bani S.	2. Jeffers J.
13. Bates J. S.	15. Lilaj R.
4. Djorkaeff Radcliffe Campbell	55. Massie J.
32. Holt A.	9. Nika A.
1. Jackson I.	11. Rama E.
35. Sylver J.	6. Sharra A.
43. Temidayo Q.	7. Williams R.
Coaches
. Kousidis C.	. Karaj E.

Preview

Apolonia is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Tirana is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Apolonia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 348:349. (average 87:87.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Apolonia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 194:178. (average 97:89).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Apolonia Fier Basketball
Albanian Superliga Basketball
09.11.25	Partizani Tirana - Apolonia Fier	71:99 ✺
03.11.25	Kamza Basket - Apolonia Fier	88:92 ✺
25.10.25	Apolonia Fier - Flamurtari Vlorë	98:57
18.10.25	Teuta Durrës - Apolonia Fier	61:85 ✺
13.10.25	Apolonia Fier - Vllaznia Shkodër	90:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWWW
- BC Tirana
Albanian Superliga Basketball
08.11.25	Tirana - Flamurtari Vlorë	110:66
06.11.25	Teuta Durrës - Tirana	72:103 ✺
25.10.25	Tirana - Vllaznia Shkodër	72:69 ✺
18.10.25	Tirana - Skënderbeu	94:67 ✺
12.10.25	Besëlidhja Lezhë - Tirana	118:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Albanian Superliga Basketball
29.03.25	Apolonia Fier - Tirana	104:103 OT
31.01.25	Tirana - Apolonia Fier	87:71
13.12.24	Apolonia Fier - Tirana	90:75
17.04.24	Tirana - Apolonia Fier	84:83

Apolonia Fier - Tirana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide