Match Info

LNB 2

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Fortín Prat (Valparaíso)


	Arabe Valparaiso		Quilpué

	1	2
	1.34	2.9
	1.24	3.03
	1.34	2.90	Watch
	1.39	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.43)	2.86 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 136.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arabe Valparaiso
68.3%

Quilpué
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arabe Valparaiso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arabe Valparaiso's performance.

Quilpué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Quilpué might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arabe Valparaiso than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arabe Valparaiso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilpué than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Quilpué could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arabe Valparaiso - Quilpué Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 72:65

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Crespi E.	9. Gonzales F.
9. Godoy D.	1. Hilaire I.
8. Mondaca B.	23. Lopez M.
26. Oliveira H.	5. Ortega J. (C)
25. Vargas N.	6. Perez H.
Substitutes
10. Albornoz M.	8. Gaete G.
3. Arenas T.	22. Gonzalez V.
6. Godoy V. (C)	12. Jara D.
14. Rodriguez A.	10. Jara S.
12. Rubilar F.	4. Pinto M. P.
20. Sepulveda F.	3. Valdes A.
13. Vergara R.	29. Zubicueta M.
Coaches
. Toledo M.	. Garcia A.

Preview

Arabe Valparaiso is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Quilpué has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Arabe Valparaiso will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Arabe Valparaiso will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arabe Valparaiso won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 328:331. (average 65.6:66.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Arabe Valparaiso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 125:153. (average 62.5:76.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arabe Valparaiso
Chilean LNB 2
10.05.26	Humboldt - Arabe Valparaiso	61:85 ✺
02.05.26	Arabe Valparaiso - Sportiva Italiana	78:76 ✺
25.04.26	Arabe Valparaiso - The Sharks	89:65 ✺
18.04.26	Illapel - Arabe Valparaiso	61:59 ✺
12.04.26	Quilpué - Arabe Valparaiso	63:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWWLW
- Quilpué Básquetbol
Chilean LNB 2
10.05.26	The Sharks - Quilpué	73:68 ✺
03.05.26	Quilpué - Humboldt	63:59 ✺
25.04.26	Quilpué - Illapel	70:55 ✺
19.04.26	Sportiva Italiana - Quilpué	85:60 ✺
12.04.26	Quilpué - Arabe Valparaiso	63:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean LNB 2
12.04.26	Quilpué - Arabe Valparaiso	63:71
03.05.25	Quilpué - Arabe Valparaiso	67:72
29.03.25	Arabe Valparaiso - Quilpué	57:75
16.06.24	Arabe Valparaiso - Quilpué	68:78
26.05.24	Quilpué - Arabe Valparaiso	48:60

Arabe Valparaiso - Quilpué: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide