Match Info

Liga Femenina Women - Round 9

Date: 3 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Pabellon Polideportivo de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)


	Araski AES		Gran Canaria 2014 Canarias

	1	2
	1.36	2.75
	1.38	2.78
	1.42	2.63	Watch
	1.36	2.8
	1.36	2.89
	1.33	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.43)	2.83 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 139.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Araski AES
67.4%

Gran Canaria 2014 Canarias
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Araski AES has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Gran Canaria 2014 Canarias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Araski AES than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Canaria 2014 Canarias than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Araski AES - Gran Canaria 2014 Canarias Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:67

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Brotons M.	23. Contell C.
8. Dembele Traore M.	9. Estebas P.
31. Lahtinen L.	42. George A.
15. Morro N.	4. Merceron A.
22. Toussaint D.	24. Richardson R.
Substitutes
7. Castellano M.	8. Dillard C.
4. Hill S.	35. Ezeanatogu Ezeonu T.
17. Jourdain I.	3. Hernandez A.
24. Mollenhauer A.	13. Kamara N.
9. Sanz M.	10. Virjoghe A.
11. Urbaniak Dornstauder Q.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Araski won 3.

Araski has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gran Canaria has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gran Canaria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Araski is seen as the favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Araski won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 788:878. (average 65.7:73.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Araski won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 416:413. (average 69.3:68.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Araski AES
Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
29.11.25	Leganés - Araski AES	64:70 ✺
23.11.25	Joventut Badalona - Araski AES	74:80 ✺
07.11.25	Araski AES - Valencia	56:77 ✺
01.11.25	Araski AES - Cadí La Seu	56:64 ✺
26.10.25	Uni Girona - Araski AES	90:49 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLLL
- Gran Canaria 2014 Canarias
Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
30.11.25	Gran Canaria 2014 Canarias - Universitario Ferrol	93:81 ✺
23.11.25	Cadí La Seu - Gran Canaria 2014 Canarias	73:71 ✺
07.11.25	Gran Canaria 2014 Canarias - Porta XI Ensino	79:83 ✺
01.11.25	Leganés - Gran Canaria 2014 Canarias	84:56 ✺
26.10.25	Joventut Badalona - Gran Canaria 2014 Canarias	88:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
13.02.25	Araski AES - Gran Canaria 2014 Canarias	74:67
04.12.24	Gran Canaria 2014 Canarias - Araski AES	87:63
13.04.24	Gran Canaria 2014 Canarias - Araski AES	83:59
16.11.23	Araski AES - Gran Canaria 2014 Canarias	64:56
16.02.23	Gran Canaria 2014 Canarias - Araski AES	75:76
23.10.22	Araski AES - Gran Canaria 2014 Canarias	67:82
20.02.22	Araski AES - Gran Canaria 2014 Canarias	60:62

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