Match Info

Liga Femenina Women - Round 24

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Pabellon Polideportivo de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)


	Araski AES		Joventut Badalona

	1	2
	2.2	1.55	Watch
	2.26	1.58
	2.24	1.56	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.27	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.34)	1.56 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 142.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Araski AES
41.1%

Joventut Badalona
58.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.6%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

66.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Araski AES has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Joventut Badalona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Araski AES than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Araski AES that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joventut Badalona than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joventut Badalona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Araski AES - Joventut Badalona Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Araski (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 69:73

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Dembele Traore M.	12. Dembele A.
4. Hill S.	33. Ebo L.
17. Jourdain I.	11. Lamana L.
31. Lahtinen L.	5. Piera L.
15. Morro N.	17. Sivka A.
Substitutes
5. Brotons M.	20. Brewer B.
24. Mollenhauer A.	21. Cotano R.
9. Sanz M.	15. Howard R.
22. Toussaint D.	98. Nieto L.
11. Urbaniak Dornstauder Q.	4. Ramette E.
	10. Santibanez I.

Preview

In recent matches, Araski has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Joventut is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Araski won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 237:251. (average 79:83.7).

Including home match between the teams, Araski won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 73:84.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
15	Araski W	4	0	4	242:301	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Araski AES
Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
28.02.26	Araski AES - Leganés	40:87 ✺
22.02.26	Gernika Bizkaia - Araski AES	93:61 ✺
15.02.26	Araski AES - Gipuzkoa Universidad del Pais Vasco	76:66 ✺
07.02.26	Gran Canaria 2014 Canarias - Araski AES	73:77 ✺
31.01.26	Araski AES - Porta XI Ensino	55:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWL
- Joventut Badalona W
Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
01.03.26	Joventut Badalona - Universitario Ferrol	77:80 ✺
21.02.26	Zaragoza - Joventut Badalona	94:67 ✺
15.02.26	Valencia - Joventut Badalona	83:57 ✺
08.02.26	Joventut Badalona - Estudiantes	69:86 ✺
01.02.26	Joventut Badalona - Gernika Bizkaia	76:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
23.11.25	Joventut Badalona - Araski AES	74:80
25.01.25	Araski AES - Joventut Badalona	73:84
14.11.24	Joventut Badalona - Araski AES	93:84

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