Match Info

Liga Femenina Women - Round 23

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Palau Municipal d'Esports de Badalona (Badalona)


	Joventut Badalona		Universitario Ferrol

	1	2
	1.48	2.35	Watch
	1.55	2.33
	1.49	2.4	Watch
	1.5	2.4
	1.55	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.47)	2.36 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 150.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joventut Badalona
60.9%

Universitario Ferrol
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joventut Badalona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Universitario Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joventut Badalona than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joventut Badalona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario Ferrol than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universitario Ferrol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Joventut Badalona - Universitario Ferrol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:73

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Brewer B.	14. Daniels D.
12. Dembele A.	22. Joiner M.
5. Piera L.	13. Melia C.
4. Ramette E.	11. Millan B.
17. Sivka A.	9. Sotolova K.
Substitutes
21. Cotano R.	99. Joris I.
98. Diop A.	12. Millan S.
33. Ebo L.	20. Rodriguez Dominguez E.
15. Howard R.	3. Samson C. C.
11. Lamana L.	1. Sanchez A.
10. Santibanez I.

Preview

Joventut has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ferrol has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ferrol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Joventut will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Joventut won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 235:221. (average 78.3:73.7).

Including home match between the teams, Joventut won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 97:90.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
10	Ferrol W	2	1	1	143:151	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joventut Badalona W
Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
21.02.26	Zaragoza - Joventut Badalona	94:67 ✺
15.02.26	Valencia - Joventut Badalona	83:57 ✺
08.02.26	Joventut Badalona - Estudiantes	69:86 ✺
01.02.26	Joventut Badalona - Gernika Bizkaia	76:63 ✺
25.01.26	Porta XI Ensino - Joventut Badalona	72:57 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLLWL
- Universitario Ferrol
Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
22.02.26	Porta XI Ensino - Universitario Ferrol	73:68 ✺
14.02.26	Universitario Ferrol - Gran Canaria 2014 Canarias	109:82 ✺
07.02.26	Gernika Bizkaia - Universitario Ferrol	77:86 ✺
31.01.26	Universitario Ferrol - Cadí La Seu	73:69 ✺
24.01.26	Estepona - Universitario Ferrol	65:49 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
04.01.26	Universitario Ferrol - Joventut Badalona	66:62
12.01.25	Joventut Badalona - Universitario Ferrol	97:90
17.11.24	Universitario Ferrol - Joventut Badalona	65:76

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