Match Info

EuroBasket - Qualification - First round - Round 4

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday

Location: Mika Sport Complex (Yerevan)


	Armenia		Bulgaria

	1	2
			Watch
	4.6	1.17
	5	1.14	Watch
	5.11	1.11
	5.51	1.13	Watch
	4.75	1.17
	5.51	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.08 ↑ (3.53)	1.15 ↓ (1.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Armenia
18.5%

Bulgaria
81.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

73.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Armenia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Armenia's form might have worsened.

Bulgaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bulgaria's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Armenia - Bulgaria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Kirakosyan D. Temp Sumz Revda	10. Ivanov P. (C) Spartak Pleven
28. McGhee D. JL Bourg	11. Minchev Y. Chemnitz
77. Melikyan Y. Regio Basel	17. Stoilov E.
21. Mkrtychyan A.	3. Stoimenov A. Vojvodina Novi Sad
5. Tatevosyan A. Erebuni	22. Toshkov K. Balkan
Substitutes
2. Aghajanyan V.	35. Alipiev I. Rimini
15. Gevorgyan A.	25. Bachkov H. Rilski Sportist
0. Gevorkian D.	15. Chernokozhev T. Cherno More
34. Khachatryan D.	34. Dimitrov D. Balkan
35. Kilislian X.	77. Gerganov G. Botev 2012
9. Melikyan K.	23. Vasov M. Rilski Sportist
3. Mkrtumyan T.
Coaches
. Karaicic B.	. Minchev L.

Preview

Bulgaria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bulgaria is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Armenia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 88:98.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Armenia basketball
EuroBasket
30.11.25	Armenia - Norway	62:74 ✺
27.11.25	Bulgaria - Armenia	98:88 ✺
World Championship Basketball
20.02.25	Albania - Armenia	67:91 ✺
24.11.24	Armenia - Austria	80:129 ✺
25.02.24	Armenia - Albania	84:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWLW
- Bulgaria basketball
EuroBasket
27.02.26	Norway - Bulgaria	76:67 ✺
27.11.25	Bulgaria - Armenia	98:88 ✺
World Championship Basketball
20.08.25	Netherlands - Bulgaria	97:70 ✺
16.08.25	Bulgaria - Austria	87:78 ✺
09.08.25	Bulgaria - Netherlands	70:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

EuroBasket
27.11.25	Bulgaria - Armenia	98:88

Armenia - Bulgaria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide