Match Info

RUSSIA: VTB United League

Date: 29 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Saryarka Velodrome (Astana)


	Astana		Samara

	1	2
	2.61	1.44
	2.43	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.49)	1.51 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 149.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astana
37.4%

Samara
62.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

63.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Samara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astana than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samara than the current prediction. (-2%)

Astana - Samara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Desyatnikov A.	11. Amosov E.
1. Motovilov G.	8. Goldyrev G.
3. Murzagaliyev R.	10. Kardanakhishvili A.
22. Pokhodyaev D.	23. Kulagin M.
4. Utomi D.	37. Popov I.
Substitutes
88. Abashidze S.	30. Chikarev D.
47. Aitkali R.	14. Kashin V.
53. Isaenko V.	77. Prokhorov A.
55. Maydekin A.	7. Pynko I.
76. Orazbekov A.	1. Sopin A.
9. Shcherbak V.
30. Smith G.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Astana won 1.

Two teams has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Samara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Samara have a series of home games.

Samara will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Astana won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 740:913 (average 67.3:83).

Including matches at home between the teams Astana won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 350:422 (average 70:84.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Astana
VTB United League
26.01.25	Nizhny Novgorod - Astana	66:62 ✺
21.01.25	Astana - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	63:78 ✺
15.01.25	UNICS - Astana	104:57
12.01.25	Avtodor Saratov - Astana	106:64 ✺
05.01.25	Astana - CSKA Moscow	55:99
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- BC Samara
VTB United League
24.01.25	Samara - Zenit Saint Petersburg	73:106 ✺
19.01.25	UNICS - Samara	94:59 ✺
14.01.25	Samara - Lokomotiv-Kuban	69:96 ✺
11.01.25	Samara - MBA Moscow	78:80 ✺
08.01.25	Samara - Zenit Saint Petersburg	54:103 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

VTB United League
28.11.24	Astana - Samara	59:81
19.10.24	Samara - Astana	91:57
14.04.24	Astana - Samara	84:84
13.03.24	Samara - Astana	84:63
24.01.24	Samara - Astana	66:78
27.11.23	Astana - Samara	83:66
Club Friendly Basketball
22.09.23	Samara - Astana	68:59

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