Match Info

1. Liga - Round 33

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Sisu Arena (Bydgoszcz)

Referee: Kurowski C. (Pol)


	Astoria Bydgoszcz		GKS Tychy

	1	2
	2.68	1.38	Watch
	2.9	1.36
	2.63	1.42	Watch
	2.7	1.4
	2.67	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (1.33)	1.39 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astoria Bydgoszcz
33.8%

GKS Tychy
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astoria Bydgoszcz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-34.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Astoria Bydgoszcz's form might have worsened.

GKS Tychy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+34.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting GKS Tychy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astoria Bydgoszcz than the current prediction. (+35.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Astoria Bydgoszcz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (-35.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for GKS Tychy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Astoria Bydgoszcz - GKS Tychy Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Astoria Bydgoszcz will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Andrzejewski J.	1. Dziemba M.
8. Chylinski M.	12. Kiwilsza S.
5. Kachelski N.	20. Lis M.
50. Kemp A.	4. Snieg Tomasz . (C)
55. Nowakowski M. (C)	33. Walski S.
Substitutes
12. Borkowski K.	7. Adamczak M.
0. Dereszynski F.	3. Bozenko S.
32. Kedel P.	13. Danielak A.
10. Ptak B.	34. Dawdo K.
30. Tuskowski K.	9. Helinski S.
	6. Kuczawski K.
	77. Szczypinski M.
Coaches
. Skiba G.	. Jagielka T.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Astoria Bydgoszcz won 3.

Recent performances by Astoria Bydgoszcz have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

GKS Tychy is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Astoria Bydgoszcz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Astoria Bydgoszcz won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1214:1159. (average 80.9:77.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Astoria Bydgoszcz won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 629:563. (average 78.6:70.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
15	GKS Tychy	3	0	3	198:248	3

Last Results with these Odds

Astoria Bydgoszcz - the odds 1.33 are the expected chance of winning is 68.03%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Astoria Bydgoszcz
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
11.04.26	Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański - Astoria Bydgoszcz	74:78 ✺
07.04.26	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Miners Katowice	93:84 ✺
29.03.26	Resovia Rzeszów - Astoria Bydgoszcz	88:75 ✺
25.03.26	Sokol Lancut - Astoria Bydgoszcz	79:71 ✺
21.03.26	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Basket Poznań	88:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLLW
- GKS Tychy Basketball
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
11.04.26	GKS Tychy - Politechnika Opolska	96:76 ✺
08.04.26	ŁKS Łódź - GKS Tychy	82:86 OT ✺
29.03.26	GKS Tychy - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	89:83 ✺
25.03.26	GKS Tychy - Żubry Białystok	89:75 ✺
21.03.26	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - GKS Tychy	87:81 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish 1 Liga Basketball
19.11.25	GKS Tychy - Astoria Bydgoszcz	75:92
15.01.25	GKS Tychy - Astoria Bydgoszcz	84:81
09.10.24	Astoria Bydgoszcz - GKS Tychy	69:74
15.05.24	Astoria Bydgoszcz - GKS Tychy	91:62
12.05.24	GKS Tychy - Astoria Bydgoszcz	80:95
11.05.24	GKS Tychy - Astoria Bydgoszcz	93:67
05.05.24	Astoria Bydgoszcz - GKS Tychy	74:58

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