Match Info

A1 Women - Play Offs - Final

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Ergani Indoor Sports Hall (Vyronas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	ERT 2


	Athinaikos		Panathinaikos

	1	2
	1.26	3.15
	1.27	3.09
	1.50	2.27	Watch
	1.34	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.42)	2.88 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athinaikos
68.2%

Panathinaikos
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athinaikos than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athinaikos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Panathinaikos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Athinaikos - Panathinaikos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:74

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Hristova B.	8. Brown J.
24. Parks R.	2. Fitzgerald F.
8. Pavlopoulou P.	12. Galanopoulos S.
23. Prince A.	77. Prince S.
15. Tadic A.	15. Spanou A.
Substitutes
17. Alexandri D.	22. Chatzigiakoumi A.
33. Anigwe K.	18. Chatzileonti I.
4. Chairistanidou A.	6. Kotoula E.
13. Louka V.	21. Krimili I.
1. Raca I.	0. Okosun J.
5. Stamati E.	16. Polymeni L.
3. Tsineke E.	4. Stamolamprou A.

Preview

Series tied 1-1. First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athinaikos won 4.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Athinaikos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Athinaikos is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Athinaikos won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 598:642. (average 74.8:80.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Athinaikos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 312:321. (average 78:80.3).

Outrights of Greek WBL1 Women for now

Athinaikos W: 56.23% Panathinaikos W: 12.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Athinaikos W	1	1	0	94:55	2
2	Panathinaikos W	1	1	0	91:52	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athinaikos
Eurocup Women
09.04.26	CBK Mersin - Athinaikos	75:77 ✺
02.04.26	Athinaikos - CBK Mersin	80:85 ✺
Greek Cup Basketball Women
29.03.26	Proteas Voulas - Athinaikos	56:94 ✺
27.03.26	Athinaikos - Panathlitikos	94:72 ✺
Greek WBL1 Women
21.03.26	Panathlitikos - Athinaikos	73:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWWW
- Panathinaikos Basketball Women
Greek Cup Basketball Women
27.03.26	Proteas Voulas - Panathinaikos	80:76 OT ✺
Greek WBL1 Women
21.03.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Panathinaikos	93:103 OT ✺
07.03.26	Panathinaikos - Olympiacos Piraeus	90:70 ✺
28.02.26	Panserraikos - Panathinaikos	60:88 ✺
22.02.26	Panathinaikos - Amyntas	87:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Greek WBL1 Women
03.01.26	Panathinaikos - Athinaikos	70:76
05.10.25	Athinaikos - Panathinaikos	69:71
26.03.25	Panathinaikos - Athinaikos	69:78
23.03.25	Athinaikos - Panathinaikos	98:85
02.03.25	Athinaikos - Panathinaikos	95:82
15.12.24	Panathinaikos - Athinaikos	76:90
29.02.24	Panathinaikos - Athinaikos	106:42

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