Match Info

NBA

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: State Farm Arena (Atlanta, GA)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	NBA Global League Pass


	Atlanta Hawks		Milwaukee Bucks

	1	2
	1.2	4.75	Watch
	1.22	4.3
	1.21	4.92
	1.19	5.17	Watch
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.31	3.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.32)	4.6 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 228.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta Hawks
79%

Milwaukee Bucks
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlanta Hawks's performance.

Milwaukee Bucks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Milwaukee Bucks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta Hawks than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlanta Hawks that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milwaukee Bucks than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Milwaukee Bucks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Atlanta Hawks - Milwaukee Bucks Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Milwaukee will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Milwaukee (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -8.5, OT - Atlanta (1.96) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +9.5, OT - Milwaukee (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Milwaukee (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 119:109

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Daniels D.	18. Kuzma K.
1. Johnson J.	00. Sims J.
17. Okongwu O.	3. Turner M.
7. Alexander-Walker N.	7. Porter K.
3. McCollum C.	13. Rollins R.
Substitutes
0. Dennis R.	43. Antetokounmpo T.
18. Gueye M.	20. Green A.
8. Hield B.	11. Harris G.
33. Houstan C.	44. Jackson A.
24. Kispert C.	35. Nance P.
35. Koloko C. J.	9. Portis B.
31. Landale J.	12. Prince T.
10. Risacher Z.	24. Thomas C.
4. Vincent G.	5. Trent G.
2. Wallace K.
Coaches
. Snyder Q.	. Rivers D.

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 3.

Atlanta has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Milwaukee's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Atlanta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

There will not play in Atlanta: Daniels D. (Toe Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 2366:2283. (average 118.3:114.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1152:1128. (average 115.2:112.8).

Outrights of NBA for now

Atlanta Hawks: 1.31% Milwaukee Bucks: 0.19%

Last Results with these Odds

Milwaukee Bucks - the odds 3.39 are the expected chance of winning is 28.03%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta Hawks
NBA
12.03.26	Atlanta Hawks - Brooklyn Nets	108:97 ✺
10.03.26	Atlanta Hawks - Dallas Mavericks	124:112 ✺
07.03.26	Atlanta Hawks - Philadelphia 76ers	125:116 ✺
04.03.26	Milwaukee Bucks - Atlanta Hawks	113:131 ✺
01.03.26	Atlanta Hawks - Portland Trail Blazers	135:101 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWW
- Milwaukee Bucks
NBA
12.03.26	Miami Heat - Milwaukee Bucks	112:105 ✺
10.03.26	Milwaukee Bucks - Phoenix Suns	114:129 ✺
08.03.26	Milwaukee Bucks - Orlando Magic	91:130 ✺
07.03.26	Milwaukee Bucks - Utah Jazz	113:99 ✺
04.03.26	Milwaukee Bucks - Atlanta Hawks	113:131 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NBA
04.03.26	Milwaukee Bucks - Atlanta Hawks	113:131
19.01.26	Atlanta Hawks - Milwaukee Bucks	110:112
30.03.25	Milwaukee Bucks - Atlanta Hawks	124:145
04.03.25	Atlanta Hawks - Milwaukee Bucks	121:127
07.02.25	Atlanta Hawks - Milwaukee Bucks	115:110
14.12.24	Milwaukee Bucks - Atlanta Hawks	110:102
04.12.24	Milwaukee Bucks - Atlanta Hawks	104:119

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