Match Info

SPAIN: ACB - ROUND 3

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Poliesportiu d'Andorra (Andorra la Vella)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Eleven Sports 4


	BC Andorra		Palencia

	1	2
	1.3	3.65	Watch
	1.33	3.4
	1.3	3.6	Watch
	1.3	3.69
	1.3	3.6	Watch
	1.31	3.58	Watch
	1.27	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 (1.3)	3.58 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BC Andorra
73.3%

Palencia
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BC Andorra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Palencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BC Andorra than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with BC Andorra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palencia than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Palencia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

BC Andorra - Palencia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:76

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Preview

Andorra has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Palencia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Palencia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Andorra is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Andorra won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 160-161.

Including matches at home between the teams Andorra won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 97-89.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Andorra
Spanish ACB League
29.09.23	BC Andorra - CB Breogán	63:69 ✺
24.09.23	Bilbao Basket - BC Andorra	95:73 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
15.09.23	BC Andorra - Joventut Badalona	90:105 ✺
07.09.23	BC Andorra - Girona	84:89 OT ✺
01.09.23	Basquet Manresa - BC Andorra	93:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Palencia Baloncesto
Spanish ACB League
29.09.23	Palencia - Barcelona	83:84 OT ✺
23.09.23	Obradoiro CAB - Palencia	84:64 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
17.09.23	Palencia - San Pablo Burgos	79:85 ✺
15.09.23	Palencia - Valladolid	93:91 OT ✺
10.09.23	Basket Zaragoza - Palencia	63:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
04.03.23	BC Andorra - Palencia	97:89
28.10.22	Palencia - BC Andorra	72:63

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