Match Info

Serie A2 Women - Gr. B - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Palamazzali (Bolzano)


	BC Bolzano		Livorno

	1	2
	2.3	1.5
	2.34	1.55
	1.86	1.81	Watch
	2.22	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.86)	1.61 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 129.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BC Bolzano
42.5%

Livorno
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BC Bolzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that BC Bolzano's form might have worsened.

Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Livorno's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BC Bolzano than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for BC Bolzano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Livorno, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

BC Bolzano - Livorno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 64:66

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Cecili G.	7. Botteghi A. (C)
9. Egwoh A.	3. Marangoni S.
13. Koleva P.	12. Miccio L.
4. Schwienbacher L. (C)	15. Poggio A.
24. Toffolo F.	6. Sammartini G.
Substitutes
18. Bonato M.	2. Braccagni G.
11. Gualtieri E.	18. Cruz C.
26. Kob R.	0. Nikitinaite G.
7. Malintoppi A.	16. Poggi M.
12. Manzotti G.	9. Rinaldi S.
10. Tau M.	8. Sassetti I.
20. Zaman A.	11. Spagnoli S.
Coaches
. Romano M.	. Andreoli L.

Preview

First leg.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Bolzano
Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group B
03.04.26	BC Bolzano - Treviso	90:62 ✺
28.03.26	Ancona - BC Bolzano	53:69 ✺
21.03.26	BC Bolzano - Matelica	58:56 ✺
15.03.26	Cagliari - BC Bolzano	51:48 OT ✺
08.03.26	Faenza - BC Bolzano	63:59 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLL
- Libertas Livorno Women
Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group A
03.04.26	Livorno - Milano Basket Stars	94:68 ✺
28.03.26	Virtus Cagliari - Livorno	62:58 ✺
22.03.26	Empoli - Livorno	87:64 ✺
14.03.26	Livorno - Giussano	80:51 ✺
28.02.26	Livorno - Salerno	73:48 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLWW

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