Match Info

EUROPE: Eurocup - Round 3

Date: 8 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Avia Solutions Group Arena (Vilnius)

Referee: Attard B. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 4


	BC Wolves		Ratiopharm Ulm

	1	2
	1.48	2.75	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.49	2.65	Watch
	1.52	2.61
	1.53	2.44	Watch
	1.57	2.3
	1.49	2.5	Watch
	1.49	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.9)	2.55 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BC Wolves
62.8%

Ratiopharm Ulm
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BC Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in BC Wolves's performance.

Ratiopharm Ulm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ratiopharm Ulm might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BC Wolves than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with BC Wolves that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ratiopharm Ulm than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ratiopharm Ulm could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

BC Wolves - Ratiopharm Ulm Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Wolves will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Ulm will win (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ulm: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Brooks G.	14. Herkenhoff P.
1. Cowan Jr. A.	10. Jessup J.
10. Miniotas R.	15. Roby I.
44. Taylor J.	77. Saraf B.
13. Zemaitis K.	0. Weidemann N.
Substitutes
12. Andrews A.	21. Anigbata A.
9. Baslyk D.	13. Bretzel N.
22. Blazevic M.	12. Essengue N.
11. Marcinkevicius J.	7. Jensen T. B.
15. Thurman T.	9. Plummer A.
Coaches
. Magro A.	. Harrelson T.

Preview

Recent matches Wolves is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ulm is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Wolves will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Ulm to win the game is with odds 2.4.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Wolves
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
05.10.24	Mažeikiai - BC Wolves	86:95 ✺
Eurocup
01.10.24	Hapoel Tel Aviv - BC Wolves	89:84 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
28.09.24	Lietkabelis - BC Wolves	83:81 ✺
Eurocup
25.09.24	BC Wolves - Bahcesehir Koleji	69:80 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
22.09.24	BC Wolves - Jonava	103:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLW
- Ratiopharm Ulm
German BBL
05.10.24	Ratiopharm Ulm - Ludwigsburg	63:62 ✺
Eurocup
01.10.24	Ratiopharm Ulm - Joventut Badalona	87:83 ✺
German BBL
28.09.24	Ratiopharm Ulm - s.Oliver Wurzburg	85:76 ✺
Eurocup
25.09.24	Trefl Sopot - Ratiopharm Ulm	93:96 OT ✺
German BBL
22.09.24	Niners Chemnitz - Ratiopharm Ulm	86:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWW

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