What is the expert prediction for Baden vs Genève?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Baden vs Genève. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Baden vs Genève Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, March 06, 2026)

Match Info

SB League Women - Round 19

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Kanti Baden (Baden)


	Baden		Genève

	1	2
	1.48	2.42
	1.43	2.63
	1.56	2.23	Watch
	1.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.7)	2.46 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baden
62.4%

Genève
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Baden's performance.

Genève has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Genève might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baden than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Baden that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genève than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Genève could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:76

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Davenport N.	3. Boirard Garnier M.
22. Flennaugh N.	0. Chadwick J.
9. Hulliger S.	17. Dutruel M.
4. Popovic L.	23. Gonin S.
0. Soltau A.	47. Lavorel M. (C)
Substitutes
14. Bentley Z.	10. Balde S.
7. Ferrari C. (C)	4. Burdin E.
19. Lehmann M.	7. Burdin K.
6. Marinucci T.	24. Tsegai H.
2. Simeone G.	2. Vincenzi M.
8. Tomezzoli C.
10. Vollmeier A.
Coaches
. Kafantari E.	. Petit R.

Preview

Baden is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Genève has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Baden will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Baden will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baden won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 448:399. (average 89.6:79.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Baden won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 252:249. (average 84:83).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baden Basket 54
Swiss SB League Basketball Women
28.02.26	Nyon - Baden	67:79 ✺
14.02.26	Baden - Hélios VS	84:62 ✺
08.02.26	Fribourg Basket - Baden	88:82 ✺
05.02.26	Baden - Alte Kanti Aarau	77:56 ✺
24.01.26	Baden - Pully	65:49 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWLWW
- Genève Elite Basket
Swiss SB League Basketball Women
28.02.26	Genève - BBC Troistorrents	66:82 ✺
14.02.26	Genève - Alte Kanti Aarau	98:50 ✺
11.02.26	Fribourg Basket - Genève	107:88 ✺
07.02.26	Nyon - Genève	78:66 ✺
24.01.26	Genève - Hélios VS	91:56 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss SB League Basketball Women
04.01.26	Baden - Genève	82:92
11.10.25	Genève - Baden	60:93
22.02.25	Baden - Genève	73:75
19.01.25	Genève - Baden	90:103
02.11.24	Baden - Genève	97:82