Match Info

FIBA Europe Cup - Round 1

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Vejlby-Risskov Hallen (Aarhus)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIBA TV


	Bakken Bears		Benfica

	1	2
	1.98	1.72
	1.76	1.95	Watch
	2.15	1.71
	1.76	1.92
	2.14	1.68
	1.97	1.78
	2.09	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.76)	1.78 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bakken Bears
47.4%

Benfica
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bakken Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bakken Bears's form might have worsened.

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Benfica's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bakken Bears than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Bakken Bears - Benfica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Berg S.	33. Barrett L.
11. DuBose I.	1. Broussard Aaron .
3. Mincey Q.	9. Crandall E.
2. Mollgaard M.	00. Okeke O.
25. Rombley S.	34. Slater B.
Substitutes
0. Ates F.	11. Dziewa A.
1. Binet D.	17. Filipe T.
20. Corey M.	0. Francisco E.
10. Jorgensen O.	8. Muhammad L.
15. Katholm A.	14. Relvao D.
99. Moller C.	10. Silva L.
5. Rancy J.	16. Sousa S.
Coaches
. Skyler B.	. Bagatskis A.

Preview

Bakken Bears is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Benfica has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Bakken Bears may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Benfica has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Bakken Bears has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 370:336 (averaging 92.5:84 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bakken Bears against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 183:151 goals (averaging 91.5:75.5 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bakken Bears
Danish Basketligaen
30.09.26	Bakken Bears - Gladsaxe	112:75 ✺
27.09.26	Bears Academy - Bakken Bears	84:108 ✺
24.09.26	Bakken Bears - Horsens	83:64 ✺
Champions League Basketball
18.09.26	Salon Vilpas - Bakken Bears	90:72 ✺
16.09.26	Bakken Bears - Landstede	89:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWLW
- Benfica Basketball
Portuguese LPB
03.10.26	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	84:71 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
26.09.26	Ovarense - Benfica	102:107 AET ✺
Champions League Basketball
17.09.26	Benfica - Rasta Vechta	88:98 ✺
15.09.26	Benfica - Lions de Genève	87:78 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
05.09.26	Benfica - Oviedo	85:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

FIBA Europe Cup
05.02.20	Bakken Bears - Benfica	88:75
07.01.20	Benfica - Bakken Bears	90:79
15.11.17	Benfica - Bakken Bears	95:108
25.10.17	Bakken Bears - Benfica	95:76

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