Match Info

NBL1 South

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	Ballarat Miners		NW Tasmania Thunder

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.7
	1.4	2.6	Watch
	1.37	2.83
	1.46	2.55	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.43	2.68	Watch
	1.4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.22)	2.71 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 177.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ballarat Miners
65.9%

NW Tasmania Thunder
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ballarat Miners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ballarat Miners's form might have worsened.

NW Tasmania Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting NW Tasmania Thunder's recent form is better than expected.

Ballarat Miners - NW Tasmania Thunder Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 92:87

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ballarat won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ballarat may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ballarat has had a series of away games.

Recently, NW Tasmania has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ballarat is a strong favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ballarat won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1089:990. (average 90.8:82.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ballarat won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 470:391. (average 94:78.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ballarat Miners
Australian NBL1 South
03.05.25	Ballarat Miners - Waverley Falcons	100:90 ✺
26.04.25	Eltham Wildcats - Ballarat Miners	105:71 ✺
12.04.25	Hobart Chargers - Ballarat Miners	78:81 ✺
11.04.25	NW Tasmania Thunder - Ballarat Miners	88:94 ✺
05.04.25	Geelong United - Ballarat Miners	98:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWL
- NW Tasmania Thunder
Australian NBL1 South
03.05.25	Frankston Blues - NW Tasmania Thunder	91:90 ✺
26.04.25	NW Tasmania Thunder - Keilor Thunder	98:53 ✺
25.04.25	NW Tasmania Thunder - Geelong United	82:86 ✺
12.04.25	NW Tasmania Thunder - Kilsyth Cobras	85:84 ✺
11.04.25	NW Tasmania Thunder - Ballarat Miners	88:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 South
11.04.25	NW Tasmania Thunder - Ballarat Miners	88:94
26.04.24	NW Tasmania Thunder - Ballarat Miners	98:95
17.06.23	Ballarat Miners - NW Tasmania Thunder	102:81
22.04.23	NW Tasmania Thunder - Ballarat Miners	84:94
24.07.22	Ballarat Miners - NW Tasmania Thunder	97:89
24.04.21	NW Tasmania Thunder - Ballarat Miners	71:74 OT (67:67)
Australian NBL1
25.05.19	Ballarat Miners - NW Tasmania Thunder	94:67

Ballarat Miners - NW Tasmania Thunder: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide