Match Info

SPAIN: ACB - ROUND 20

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Pabellon Fernando Martin (Fuenlabrada)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Eleven Sports


	Baloncesto Fuenlabrada		Basket Zaragoza

	1	2
	2.15	1.74	Watch
	2.15	1.72
	2.16	1.7
	2.3	1.66
	2.12	1.75	Watch
	2.3	1.65	Watch
	2.09	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.82)	1.7 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baloncesto Fuenlabrada
43.8%

Basket Zaragoza
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baloncesto Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Baloncesto Fuenlabrada's form might have worsened.

Basket Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Basket Zaragoza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baloncesto Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Baloncesto Fuenlabrada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Basket Zaragoza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - Basket Zaragoza Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Fuenlabrada will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Zaragoza will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:84

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LEB Oro and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 4.

Fuenlabrada has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Zaragoza is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 1677-1694.

Including matches at home between the teams Fuenlabrada won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 728-701.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baloncesto Fuenlabrada
Spanish ACB League
05.02.23	Granada - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	83:71 ✺
28.01.23	Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - Canarias	67:95 ✺
21.01.23	Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - UCAM Murcia	72:88 ✺
14.01.23	Gran Canaria 2014 - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	110:65 ✺
07.01.23	Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - Girona	75:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Basket Zaragoza
Spanish ACB League
05.02.23	Baskonia - Basket Zaragoza	91:79 ✺
29.01.23	Basket Zaragoza - Real Betis	89:82 OT ✺
22.01.23	Valencia - Basket Zaragoza	88:76 ✺
14.01.23	Basket Zaragoza - Canarias	83:87 OT ✺
08.01.23	Basquet Manresa - Basket Zaragoza	65:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
22.10.22	Basket Zaragoza - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	79:82
31.01.22	Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - Basket Zaragoza	77:55
12.12.21	Basket Zaragoza - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	74:85
16.01.21	Basket Zaragoza - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	105:85
14.11.20	Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - Basket Zaragoza	82:81
15.12.19	Basket Zaragoza - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	75:65
04.05.19	Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - Basket Zaragoza	87:88

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