Match Info

TBL - Round 12

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Kurtdereli Spor Salonu (Balikesir)


	Balıkesir		Ankaragücü

	1	2
	1.46	2.42
	1.42	2.5
	1.49	2.4
	1.5	2.5
	1.47	2.5
	1.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.44)	2.47 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Balıkesir
62.6%

Ankaragücü
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Balıkesir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Ankaragücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balıkesir than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Balıkesir - Ankaragücü Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Booker D.	9. Bozveli D.
4. Durr M.	2. Cameron B.
18. Genc B.	99. Gokturk E.
0. Karagulle S.	00. Mbala B.
20. Kaya A.	10. Pinarer I. (C)
Substitutes
2. Altunbas T.	22. Ayyildiz T.
23. Atsuren A.	5. Has E.
48. Dogan G.	12. Karalar Y.
7. Oktay A.	15. Mazmanoglu H.
55. Ongel M.	88. Oray K.
9. Ozdogan A.	6. Sayin C.
11. Sonkol U. (C)	55. Yosmaoglu S.
Coaches
. Yakan A.	. Uner V.

Preview

In recent matches, Balıkesir has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ankaragücü is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Balıkesir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Balıkesir is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Balıkesir won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 260:284. (average 86.7:94.7).

Including home match between the teams, Balıkesir won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 72:89.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Balıkesir BB Basketball
Turkish TBL
07.12.25	Cedi Osman Basketbol - Balıkesir	78:79 ✺
22.11.25	Final Gençlik - Balıkesir	71:56 ✺
16.11.25	Balıkesir - Göztepe	65:80 ✺
07.11.25	Konya BBSK - Balıkesir	78:56 ✺
02.11.25	Balıkesir - Harem Spor	101:99 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLLW
- MKE Ankaragücü Basketball
Turkish TBL
07.12.25	Ankaragücü - Harem Spor	78:92 ✺
02.12.25	İTÜ - Ankaragücü	79:71 ✺
21.11.25	Ankaragücü - Kipaş İstiklal	68:85 ✺
08.11.25	Ankaragücü - Darüşşafaka	79:73 ✺
31.10.25	TED Ankara Kolejliler - Ankaragücü	78:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish TBL
13.04.25	Ankaragücü - Balıkesir	100:87
16.12.24	Balıkesir - Ankaragücü	72:89
25.02.24	Ankaragücü - Balıkesir	95:101 OT

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