Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Barcelona		Valencia

	1	2
	1.54	2.30	Watch
	1.56	2.45
	1.56	2.35
	1.63	2.34	Watch
	1.54	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.56)	2.34 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona
59.9%

Valencia
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Barcelona - Valencia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:86

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 2.

In recent outings, Barcelona has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Valencia is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Barcelona could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Barcelona holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Barcelona has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1699:1706 (averaging 85:85.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Barcelona against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 851:868 goals (averaging 85.1:86.8 per game).

Outrights of Spanish ACB League for now

Valencia: 12.96% Barcelona: 11.72%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	Barcelona	2	1	1	213:201	2
7	Valencia	2	1	1	197:187	2

Last Results with these Odds

Barcelona - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 59.76%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Valencia - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.24%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barcelona Basketball
Spanish ACB League
04.10.26	UCAM Murcia - Barcelona	100:94 ✺
Euroleague
02.10.26	Beşiktaş - Barcelona	82:95 ✺
29.09.26	Dubai - Barcelona	94:87 ✺
Spanish ACB League
26.09.26	Barcelona - Básquet Coruña	119:101 ✺
Euroleague
24.09.26	Barcelona - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	89:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWW
- Valencia BC
Euroleague
08.10.26	Valencia - Hapoel Tel Aviv	93:82 ✺
Spanish ACB League
04.10.26	Basket Zaragoza - Valencia	82:97 ✺
Euroleague
02.10.26	ASVEL Basket - Valencia	92:105 ✺
29.09.26	Valencia - Baskonia	111:88 ✺
Spanish ACB League
27.09.26	Valencia - Força Lleida CE	100:105 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Supercopa ACB
19.09.26	Valencia - Barcelona	86:87
Spanish ACB League
24.06.26	Barcelona - Valencia	84:108
22.06.26	Barcelona - Valencia	80:88
20.06.26	Valencia - Barcelona	102:75
18.06.26	Valencia - Barcelona	112:113 OT
31.05.26	Barcelona - Valencia	77:102
Euroleague
19.03.26	Valencia - Barcelona	62:66

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