Match Info

ACB - Round 3

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Palacio de Deportes José María Martín Carpena (Málaga)

Referee: Martinez Silla V. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
Portugal	DAZN 3


	Unicaja Malaga		Barcelona

	1	2
	1.65	2.3	Watch
	1.61	2.33
	1.64	2.29
	1.68	2.05	Watch
	1.58	2.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.71)	2.28 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unicaja Malaga
58.3%

Barcelona
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unicaja Malaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unicaja Malaga than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.8%	0%	21.2%

Unicaja Malaga - Barcelona Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3, OT - Barcelona (2.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Unicaja Malaga will win (25 of 32 users predict this - 78.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 63.81% – 92.45%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Unicaja Malaga will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Unicaja (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Barcelona (votes: 4 - 21.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Balcerowski A.	21. Clyburn W.
27. Duarte C.	41. Keita S.
0. Perez T.	2. Marcos J.
55. Perry K.	0. Punter K.
3. Webb J. III	23. Shengelia T.
Substitutes
7. Barreiro J.	8. Brizuela D.
9. Diaz A.	3. Cale M.
14. Djedovic N.	19. Fall Y.
4. Kalinoski T.	14. Hernangomez W.
45. Kravish D.	44. Parra J.
19. Sulejmanovic E.	13. Satoransky T.
33. Tillie K.	6. Vesely J.
Coaches
. Navarro I.	. Penarroya J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unicaja won 3.

Unicaja is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Barcelona has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Unicaja may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Unicaja is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Unicaja will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Unicaja won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1632:1667. (average 81.6:83.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Unicaja won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 839:864. (average 83.9:86.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unicaja Málaga
Champions League Basketball
14.10.25	Karditsas - Unicaja Malaga	55:72 ✺
Spanish ACB League
11.10.25	Gran Canaria 2014 - Unicaja Malaga	72:81 ✺
Champions League Basketball
08.10.25	Unicaja Malaga - Mersin SK	97:66 ✺
Spanish ACB League
04.10.25	Unicaja Malaga - Bilbao Basket	86:68 ✺
Spanish Supercopa ACB
27.09.25	Unicaja Malaga - Valencia	87:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWL
- FC Barcelona Basketball
Euroleague
16.10.25	Dubai - Barcelona	83:78 ✺
14.10.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Barcelona	48:78 ✺
Spanish ACB League
12.10.25	Barcelona - Força Lleida CE	86:91 ✺
Euroleague
10.10.25	Barcelona - Valencia	108:102 ✺
Spanish ACB League
05.10.25	Valencia - Barcelona	93:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
08.06.25	Unicaja Malaga - Barcelona	97:95 OT
06.06.25	Barcelona - Unicaja Malaga	59:81
03.06.25	Unicaja Malaga - Barcelona	97:101 OT
27.04.25	Barcelona - Unicaja Malaga	83:81
27.10.24	Unicaja Malaga - Barcelona	103:96
10.05.24	Barcelona - Unicaja Malaga	91:92
27.12.23	Unicaja Malaga - Barcelona	91:71

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