Match Info

PORTUGAL: Proliga - Losers stage - Round 8

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Pavilhao Municipal Luis de Carvalho (Barreiro)


	Barreirense		Sampaense

	1	2
	1.53	2.3
	1.49	2.38
	1.43	2.35
			Watch
	1.54	2.37
	1.49	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.47)	2.36 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barreirense
61.2%

Sampaense
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Sampaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barreirense than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaense than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Barreirense - Sampaense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:78

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Lineups


13. Caetano F.	17. Almeida B.
7. Costa P.	15. Almeida J.
2. Do O J.	12. Bento F. (C)
73. Downs M.	88. Brito A.
6. Fonseca K.	8. Goncalves D.
14. Margarido D.	5. Lewis J.
32. Maxwell E.	11. Mitchell D.
5. Oliveira R.	20. Runge D.
15. Raimundo T. (C)	10. Saiote G.
1. Rosa P.	1. Tome E.
8. Santos P.	51. Tykhonov D.
9. Silva T.
Coaches
. Caetano C.	. Figueiredo C.

Preview

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Barreirense will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barreirense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 400:417 (average 80:83.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Barreirense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 146:151 (average 73:75.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barreirense Basket
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
08.03.25	Maia - Barreirense	68:65 ✺
01.03.25	Barreirense - Santo André	66:82 ✺
22.02.25	Clube Galitos - Barreirense	67:80 ✺
16.02.25	Barreirense - Lusitânia	80:90 ✺
08.02.25	Casino Ginásio - Barreirense	90:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLL
- Sampaense Basket
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
08.03.25	Santo André - Sampaense	82:77 ✺
01.03.25	Sampaense - Clube Galitos	71:93 ✺
22.02.25	Lusitânia - Sampaense	100:80 ✺
15.02.25	Sampaense - Casino Ginásio	86:96 ✺
08.02.25	Benfica B - Sampaense	74:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
25.01.25	Sampaense - Barreirense	86:73
17.03.24	Barreirense - Sampaense	56:64
17.02.24	Sampaense - Barreirense	64:70
26.03.23	Barreirense - Sampaense	90:87
25.02.23	Sampaense - Barreirense	116:111

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