Match Info

Basket Liga Women - Round 12

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Sisu Arena (Bydgoszcz)


	Basket 25 Bydgoszcz		Arka Gdynia

	1	2
	1.96	1.7
	1.92	1.76	Watch
	1.85	1.91
	1.76	1.93
	2.5	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.52)	1.76 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basket 25 Bydgoszcz
46.8%

Arka Gdynia
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basket 25 Bydgoszcz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Basket 25 Bydgoszcz's form might have worsened.

Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arka Gdynia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basket 25 Bydgoszcz than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basket 25 Bydgoszcz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arka Gdynia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Basket 25 Bydgoszcz - Arka Gdynia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Basket 25 Bydgoszcz will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Arka Gdynia will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Basket 25 Bydgoszcz (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Arka Gdynia (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -7.5, OT - Basket 25 Bydgoszcz (2.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +5.5 - Basket 25 Bydgoszcz (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Basket 25 Bydgoszcz (votes: 3 - 60%). Arka Gdynia (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Jones A.	21. Jakubiuk A.
95. Malawy A.	93. Maj K.
25. Michalek K. (C)	91. Ulan K.
4. Pawlowska A.	41. Wrzesinski B. (C)
3. Sobiech W.	94. Zalewska W.
Substitutes
94. Danielewicz H.	22. Banaszak L.
92. Gliszczynska J.	23. Czurgiel Z.
12. Keller W.	92. Maj A.
90. Pawlikowska A.	96. Szer W.
11. Pokk M.	95. Wysocka J.
91. Szymkiewicz Z.
97. Uziallo L.
Coaches
. Kulpeksza P.	. Zibarts M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basket 25 Bydgoszcz won 0.

Recent performances by Basket 25 Bydgoszcz have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Arka Gdynia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Arka Gdynia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Basket 25 Bydgoszcz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 20 matches, and goals 1253:1706. (average 62.7:85.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Basket 25 Bydgoszcz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 524:679. (average 65.5:84.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket 25 Bydgoszcz
Polish Basket Liga Women
21.12.25	Basket 25 Bydgoszcz - Energa Toruń	71:90 ✺
14.12.25	Ślęza Wrocław - Basket 25 Bydgoszcz	92:51 ✺
06.12.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Basket 25 Bydgoszcz	73:86 ✺
03.12.25	Basket 25 Bydgoszcz - Wisła Kraków	58:73 ✺
30.11.25	Jelenia Góra - Basket 25 Bydgoszcz	66:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 LLWLW
- Arka Gdynia Basketball Women
Polish Basket Liga Women
20.12.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Arka Gdynia	93:77 ✺
Eurocup Women
17.12.25	Arka Gdynia - Royal Castors Braine	54:91 ✺
Polish Basket Liga Women
13.12.25	Arka Gdynia - Wisła Kraków	83:91 ✺
Eurocup Women
10.12.25	Royal Castors Braine - Arka Gdynia	80:73 ✺
Polish Basket Liga Women
07.12.25	Jelenia Góra - Arka Gdynia	92:126 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga Women
04.10.25	Arka Gdynia - Basket 25 Bydgoszcz	100:66
01.03.25	Basket 25 Bydgoszcz - Arka Gdynia	60:83
08.12.24	Arka Gdynia - Basket 25 Bydgoszcz	90:72
17.02.24	Basket 25 Bydgoszcz - Arka Gdynia	66:93
17.12.23	Arka Gdynia - Basket 25 Bydgoszcz	80:63
31.12.22	Arka Gdynia - Basket 25 Bydgoszcz	107:32
Eurocup Women
16.11.22	Basket 25 Bydgoszcz - Arka Gdynia	61:84

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