Match Info

Date: 23 January 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Basket Costa		San Giovanni

	1	2
	1.45	2.55
	1.43	2.5
	1.43	2.55
	1.53	2.38
	1.36	2.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (2.18)	2.59 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 134.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basket Costa
64.3%

San Giovanni
35.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basket Costa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Basket Costa's performance.

San Giovanni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Giovanni might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Costa than the current prediction. (-22.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Basket Costa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Giovanni than the current prediction. (+22.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Giovanni could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	0%	29.4%

Basket Costa - San Giovanni Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Basket Costa will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). San Giovanni will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Basket Costa: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 70:65

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Basket Costa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Basket Costa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 267-304.

Including matches at home between the teams Basket Costa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 118-148.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Basket Costa
Italian Serie A1 Basketball Women
16.01.22	Basket Costa - Virtus Eirene Ragusa	62:80 ✺
02.01.22	Broni - Basket Costa	61:68 ✺
27.12.21	Basket Costa - Virtus Bologna	56:76 ✺
17.12.21	Empoli - Basket Costa	59:74 ✺
12.12.21	Basket Costa - San Martino Di Lupari	69:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWL
- Sesto San Giovanni
Italian Serie A1 Basketball Women
15.01.22	San Giovanni - Famila Schio	72:76 ✺
05.01.22	San Giovanni - Virtus Eirene Ragusa	53:66 ✺
18.12.21	Virtus Bologna - San Giovanni	53:60 OT (50:50) ✺
11.12.21	Venezia - San Giovanni	61:53 ✺
05.12.21	San Giovanni - Broni	73:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A1 Basketball Women
24.10.21	San Giovanni - Basket Costa	77:73
21.02.21	San Giovanni - Basket Costa	79:76
02.12.20	Basket Costa - San Giovanni	52:76
23.11.19	Basket Costa - San Giovanni	66:72

Basket Costa - San Giovanni