Match Info

Serie A2 - Round 18

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Vitrifrigo Arena (Pesaro)


	Basket Pesaro		Rieti

	1	2
	1.42	2.7	Watch
	1.42	2.6
	1.4	2.55
	1.42	2.83
	1.46	2.53	Watch
	1.43	2.62	Watch
	1.41	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.42)	2.65 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basket Pesaro
65%

Rieti
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basket Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Rieti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basket Pesaro than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rieti than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Basket Pesaro - Rieti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Bucarelli L.	8. Guariglia T.
7. Maretto O.	22. Hogue D.
22. Miniotas R.	0. Parravicini M.
15. Tambone M.	11. Perry D.
18. Virginio N.	27. Udom L.
Substitutes
5. Bertini A.	3. Bellini M.
13. De Laurentiis Q.	0. Cardi L.
25. Fainke E.	30. Cicchetti M.
20. Felder K.	5. Palumbo M.
16. Reginato P.	7. Pascolo D.
8. Sakine E. Y.	13. Piccin L.
1. Trucchetti S.	2. Piunti G.
Coaches
. Leka S.	. Ciani F.

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Pesaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pesaro will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pesaro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 239:249. (average 79.7:83).

Including home matches between the teams, Pesaro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 159:163. (average 79.5:81.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Pesaro
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
14.12.25	Basket Pesaro - Baltur Cento	80:66 ✺
07.12.25	Brindisi - Basket Pesaro	68:64 ✺
30.11.25	Basket Pesaro - Basket Torino	81:90 ✺
26.11.25	Forlì - Basket Pesaro	88:91 ✺
23.11.25	Basket Pesaro - Cividale	68:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLWL
- NPC Rieti
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
17.12.25	Rieti - Brindisi	87:76 ✺
14.12.25	Rieti - Libertas Livorno	64:75 ✺
07.12.25	Basket Torino - Rieti	82:72 ✺
26.11.25	Scafati - Rieti	95:79 ✺
22.11.25	Rieti - Urania Milano	94:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
09.03.25	Basket Pesaro - Rieti	78:85
12.10.24	Rieti - Basket Pesaro	86:80
Club Friendly Basketball
04.10.19	Basket Pesaro - Rieti	81:78

Basket Pesaro - Rieti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide