Match Info

1. Liga - Round 22

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Cityzen hall (Poznań)

Referee: Tyliszczak M. (Pol)


	Basket Poznań		Noteć Inowrocław

	1	2
	1.28	3.15	Watch
	1.29	3.18
	1.34	2.92	Watch
	1.33	3
	1.35	2.94
	1.38	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 (1.33)	3.01 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basket Poznań
69.4%

Noteć Inowrocław
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basket Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Noteć Inowrocław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Poznań than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Basket Poznań that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noteć Inowrocław than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Noteć Inowrocław could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Basket Poznań - Noteć Inowrocław Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Krajewski A.	11. Czujkowski A.
7. Nowicki J.	2. Mitrovic L.
9. Rosinski K.	23. Rompa S.
6. Samsonowicz M. (C)	4. Styczen M.
15. Washington J.	9. Trubacz R.
Substitutes
13. Dydak T.	7. Ciesielski D.
8. Kluj J.	0. Gawarecki A.
21. Krajewski I.	10. Leslie T.
31. Makowski K.	3. Lis P.
23. Monko B.	6. Sobiech S. (C)
20. Stankowski P.	91. Stryjewski F.
22. Stopierzynski M.
Coaches
. Valeiko E.	. Szubarga K.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poznań won 3.

Poznań has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Inowrocław's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Poznań is a strong favorite.

We predict that Poznań will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Poznań won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 444:438. (average 74:73).

Including home matches between the teams, Poznań won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 137:124. (average 68.5:62).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
6	Poznan	3	2	1	297:272	5
9	Inowroclaw	3	2	1	242:218	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Poznań
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
24.01.26	Polonia Warszawa - Basket Poznań	75:76 ✺
21.01.26	Basket Poznań - Polonia 1912 Leszno	83:72 ✺
18.01.26	Sokol Lancut - Basket Poznań	90:77 ✺
10.01.26	Basket Poznań - GKS Tychy	82:71 ✺
04.01.26	Basket Poznań - Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański	63:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLWL
- KSK Noteć Inowrocław
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
25.01.26	Noteć Inowrocław - Żubry Białystok	80:81 ✺
21.01.26	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Noteć Inowrocław	108:92 ✺
17.01.26	Noteć Inowrocław - Politechnika Opolska	75:82 ✺
10.01.26	ŁKS Łódź - Noteć Inowrocław	82:84 OT ✺
03.01.26	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Noteć Inowrocław	77:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish 1 Liga Basketball
11.10.25	Noteć Inowrocław - Basket Poznań	76:74
04.01.25	Basket Poznań - Noteć Inowrocław	80:63
29.09.24	Noteć Inowrocław - Basket Poznań	81:69
Club Friendly Basketball
31.08.24	Noteć Inowrocław - Basket Poznań	73:76
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
24.03.18	Noteć Inowrocław - Basket Poznań	84:88
09.12.17	Basket Poznań - Noteć Inowrocław	57:61

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