Match Info

ITALY: Serie A2 - Round 30

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: PalaFacchetti (Treviglio) 🌤️ ...


	Basket Treviglio		Orzi Basket

	1	2
	1.42	2.7
	1.4	2.65
	1.41	2.55
	1.45	2.78
	1.46	2.78
	1.44	2.62
	1.4	2.8	Watch
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.55)	2.7 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basket Treviglio
65.5%

Orzi Basket
34.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.5%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basket Treviglio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Basket Treviglio's performance.

Orzi Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orzi Basket might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Treviglio than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Basket Treviglio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orzi Basket than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orzi Basket could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Basket Treviglio - Orzi Basket Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:74

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Guariglia T.	8. Alessandrini N.
22. Miaschi F.	7. Basile G.
2. Pacher A. J.	5. Bertini A.
20. Pollone M.	11. Gasparin G.
7. Vitali L.	4. Jorgensen P.
Substitutes
16. Barbante S.	2. Bergo T.
6. Carpi G.	0. Donzelli D.
11. Cerella B.	20. Leonzio E.
13. Falappi L.	9. Trapani E.
4. Giordano N.	21. Zilli D.
10. Harris T.	66. Zugno R.
14. Sacchetti B.
Coaches
. Valli G.	. Zanchi A.

Preview

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Treviglio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Treviglio will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Treviglio won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 354-322.

Including matches at home between the teams Treviglio won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 166-136.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Treviglio
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
29.03.24	Udine - Basket Treviglio	73:65 ✺
23.03.24	Basket Treviglio - Pallacanestro Nardò	76:62 ✺
10.03.24	Trieste - Basket Treviglio	86:76 ✺
03.03.24	Basket Treviglio - Chiusi	68:69 ✺
17.02.24	Basket Treviglio - Cividale	77:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL
- Orzi Basket
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
31.03.24	Orzi Basket - Basket Torino	83:81 ✺
24.03.24	Vigevano - Orzi Basket	91:70 ✺
10.03.24	Orzi Basket - Trapani	83:93 ✺
02.03.24	Urania Milano - Orzi Basket	82:75 ✺
25.02.24	Orzi Basket - Rieti	72:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
20.03.22	Orzi Basket - Basket Treviglio	78:91
05.12.21	Basket Treviglio - Orzi Basket	76:53
Italian Serie A2 Green Basketball
07.04.21	Basket Treviglio - Orzi Basket	90:83
27.12.20	Orzi Basket - Basket Treviglio	108:97

Basket Treviglio - Orzi Basket