Match Info

EUROPE: FIBA EUROPE CUP - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 6 March 2024, Wednesday

Location: Pabellon Principe Felipe (Zaragoza)


	Basket Zaragoza		Niners Chemnitz

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.91
	1.92	1.8	Watch
	1.98	1.91
	1.98	1.88
	1.91	1.8
	1.88	1.82	Watch
	1.81	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.7)	1.86 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basket Zaragoza
49.6%

Niners Chemnitz
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basket Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Basket Zaragoza's form might have worsened.

Niners Chemnitz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Niners Chemnitz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basket Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basket Zaragoza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niners Chemnitz than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Niners Chemnitz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Basket Zaragoza - Niners Chemnitz Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Zaragoza will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Chemnitz will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chemnitz: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:80

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Zaragoza is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chemnitz is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chemnitz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Zaragoza have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Zaragoza
Spanish ACB League
03.03.24	Barcelona - Basket Zaragoza	109:68 ✺
10.02.24	Basket Zaragoza - Canarias	100:106 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
07.02.24	Basket Zaragoza - Körfez	88:71 ✺
Spanish ACB League
03.02.24	Basket Zaragoza - CB Breogán	63:61 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
31.01.24	Basket Zaragoza - Gravelines	101:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWWW
- Niners Chemnitz
German BBL
02.03.24	Niners Chemnitz - Ratiopharm Ulm	83:82 ✺
13.02.24	Bayern München - Niners Chemnitz	89:80 ✺
10.02.24	Niners Chemnitz - EWE Baskets Oldenburg	87:69 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
07.02.24	Niners Chemnitz - Leiden	78:57 ✺
German BBL
03.02.24	Rostock Seawolves - Niners Chemnitz	90:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWW

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