Match Info
NBBDate: 16 January 2026, Friday ๐ Finished Location: Centro de Formacao Olimpica (Fortaleza) ๐ค๏ธ ...Referee: de Jesus D. (Pur)Where to Watch on TV: | Country | Kick-Off | TV Channels |
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 Brazil | 19:30 | ESPN 4 |
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Basquete Cearense |
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Botafogo |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 161.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
- The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Basquete Cearense
63.3% | Botafogo
36.7% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Basquete Cearense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Botafogo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basquete Cearense than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Basquete Cearense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Basquete Cearense - Botafogo Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo: 100% โ 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5, OT - Botafogo (2.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +4.5 - Botafogo (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 4 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:78 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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5.  da Silva B.
| 24. Derick Machado
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3.  Gohlke J.
| 3. Machado S.
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0. Jeanzinho
| 7. Matheusinho B.
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7.  Mudronja A.
| 22. Matias E.
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10.  Salsamendi F.
| 41. Scheuer P.
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| Substitutes |
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20. Amorim S.
| 6. Fellipe Paulino
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17. Caua W.
| 55. Gustavao
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1. Costa A.
| 8. Lele
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11. Dupree M.
| 33. Moreira A.
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77. Fernandes G.
| 0. Nascimento N.
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12. Mayan J.
| 17. Rodrigues L.
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16.  Popovic A.
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| Coaches |
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. Todorovic J.
| . Balbis J.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cearense won 3.Both teams are on a losing streak in recent matches.Botafogo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Cearense has had a series of home games.Recently, Botafogo has had a series of away games. Cearense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cearense won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 888:892. (average 74:74.3).Including home matches between the teams, Cearense won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 426:414. (average 71:69).
Standings
| | Pl | W | L | | PCT |
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| 15 | Botafogo | 2 | 0 | 2 | 159:170 | 0.000 |
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| 18 | Cearense | 2 | 0 | 2 | 132:191 | 0.000 |
Outrights of Brazilian NBB for now
Cearense: 0.73%
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian NBB | | | 20.10.25 | Botafogo - Basquete Cearense | 80:84 | | 20.01.25 | Botafogo - Basquete Cearense | 74:83 | | 27.10.24 | Basquete Cearense - Botafogo | 52:77 | | 14.02.24 | Basquete Cearense - Botafogo | 84:75 | | 18.12.23 | Botafogo - Basquete Cearense | 90:86 | | 01.02.20 | Botafogo - Basquete Cearense | 86:72 | | 06.11.19 | Basquete Cearense - Botafogo | 72:76 |
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