Match Info

NBB

Date: 29 December 2025, Monday

Location: Centro de Formacao Olimpica (Fortaleza)

Referee: Varella J. (Bra)


	Basquete Cearense		Cruzeiro

	1	2
	2.3	1.56
	2.35	1.5
	2.42	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.45	1.49	Watch
	2.4	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (1.67)	1.51 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basquete Cearense
38.6%

Cruzeiro
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basquete Cearense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Basquete Cearense's form might have worsened.

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cruzeiro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basquete Cearense than the current prediction. (+18.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basquete Cearense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cruzeiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Basquete Cearense - Cruzeiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cearense will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cearense (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cruzeiro (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 167.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Alberton R.	22. Ansaloni R.
11. Dupree M.	7. Clay Y.
77. Fernandes G.	30. Da Silva M.
16. Popovic A.	5. Gittens D.
10. Salsamendi F.	0. Thornton I.
Substitutes
20. Amorim S.	3. Abreu L.
17. Caua W.	10. Bueno C.
1. Costa A.	12. JJ
3. Gohlke J.	2. Nique
0. Jeanzinho	8. Nogueira E.
12. Mayan J.	21. Sena W.
7. Mudronja A.	77. Souza T.
Coaches
. Todorovic J.	. Perez T.

Preview

Cearense is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Cruzeiro has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cruzeiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cruzeiro is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basquete Cearense
Brazilian NBB
27.12.25	Basquete Cearense - Minas	81:99 ✺
23.12.25	Caxias do Sul - Basquete Cearense	68:52 ✺
21.12.25	União Corinthians - Basquete Cearense	95:62 ✺
18.12.25	Basquete Cearense - Pinheiros	61:108 ✺
15.12.25	Basquete Cearense - Paulistano	77:100 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Cruzeiro Basquete
Brazilian NBB
27.12.25	Unifacisa - Cruzeiro	85:77 ✺
23.12.25	Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama	79:75 ✺
21.12.25	Cruzeiro - Flamengo	80:93 ✺
16.12.25	Cruzeiro - Botafogo	89:65 ✺
03.12.25	União Corinthians - Cruzeiro	87:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLWL

Basquete Cearense - Cruzeiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide