The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bauru 58.1%
São José dos Campos 41.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.9%
47.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.2%
48.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bauru has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bauru's performance.
São José dos Campos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São José dos Campos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bauru than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bauru that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São José dos Campos than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São José dos Campos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
8.3%
0%
91.7%
Bauru - São José dos Campos Predictions
Users Predictions:
São José dos Campos will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): São José dos Campos will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:74
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
10. Garcia A.
33. Miller M.
6. Silva G.
0. Dos Santos D.
23. Andrezao
16. Rodrigues A.
0. Eugeniusz M.
4. Borges A.
3. Brite D.
8. Freitas C.
Substitutes
7. Gustavo
10. Carvalho P. A. B. P. d.
9. Infante P.
32. Lessa G.
77. Materan J.
1. Nascimento N.
11. Moreira
12. Nickel J.
22. Silva A.
15. Ribeiro B.
8. Vithinho
35. Tavares M.
Coaches
. Cezar P.
. Ahmed C.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bauru won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Bauru may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, São José has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bauru won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1713:1526. (average 85.7:76.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Bauru won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 927:874. (average 84.3:79.5).