Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Round 6

Date: 17 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: Pavilhão Fidelidade (Lisbon)

Referee: Kounelles I. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2


	Benfica		Niners Chemnitz

	1	2
	2	1.71	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	1.95	1.75	Watch
	2	1.84
	2	1.8
	2.05	1.7
	2.03	1.74	Watch
	1.95	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.08)	1.76 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
46.8%

Niners Chemnitz
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Niners Chemnitz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niners Chemnitz than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.8%	0%	15.2%

Benfica - Niners Chemnitz Predictions

Users Predictions: Benfica will win (28 of 33 users predict this - 84.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.62% – 97.08%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ben Romdhane M.	10. Bailey V.
1. Broussard Aaron .	8. Christmas W.
9. Drechsel T.	9. Lansdowne D.
15. Gomes B.	13. Nkamhoua O.
11. Rorie A.	1. Uguak A.
Substitutes
88. Andrade J.	35. Bedime R.
6. Barbosa J.	27. Edigin E.
0. Francisco E.	0. Gregori B.
13. Gameiro D.	21. Koppke B.
8. Panzo J.	7. Richter J.
14. Relvao D.	33. Tischler N.
4. Silva J.
Coaches
. Alves N.	. Pastore R.

Preview

Benfica is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chemnitz is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chemnitz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Benfica have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Benfica to win the game is with odds 1.97.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Benfica won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 75:103

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica Basketball
Portuguese LPB
14.12.24	Benfica - Galitos Barreiro	91:68 ✺
Champions League Basketball
10.12.24	Benfica - Basquet Manresa	80:91 ✺
Portuguese LPB
07.12.24	Ovarense - Benfica	77:98 ✺
30.11.24	Benfica - Oliveirense	93:75 ✺
16.11.24	Benfica - CAQ Queluz	108:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWWW
- Niners Chemnitz
German BBL
15.12.24	Ludwigsburg - Niners Chemnitz	69:65 ✺
Champions League Basketball
10.12.24	Niners Chemnitz - Derthona Basket Tortona	61:77 ✺
German BBL
30.11.24	Niners Chemnitz - s.Oliver Wurzburg	81:77 ✺
16.11.24	Lowen Braunschweig - Niners Chemnitz	82:74 ✺
Champions League Basketball
12.11.24	Niners Chemnitz - Basquet Manresa	78:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Basketball
16.10.24	Niners Chemnitz - Benfica	103:75

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