The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Boca Juniors 77%
Regatas Corrientes 23%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
70.3%
29.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67%
33%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boca Juniors's performance.
Regatas Corrientes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Regatas Corrientes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-10%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boca Juniors that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Regatas Corrientes than the current prediction. (+10%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Regatas Corrientes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Boca Juniors - Regatas Corrientes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:77
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Caffaro F.
35. Acuna R.
20. Lema L.
5. Gramajo P.
13. Monacchi T.
10. Montero J.
11. Vildoza J.
6. Orresta S.
0. Warren M.
22. Ruesga F.
Substitutes
19. Barreiro A.
7. Bender V.
44. Cuello M.
8. Centeno E.
3. Faggiano L.
3. Farabello F.
15. Fessia M.
11. Ferraro F.
14. Finetti V.
20. Ledesma A.
7. Helmanis K.
4. Lezcano E.
4. Stenta N.
1. Stone K.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 2.
Boca Juniors is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Regatas has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Regatas may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Boca Juniors has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this matchup, Boca Juniors is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Boca Juniors has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1522:1563 (averaging 76.1:78.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Boca Juniors against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 767:770 goals (averaging 76.7:77 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
L
PCT
8
Boca Juniors
6
3
3
529:510
0.500
15
Regatas
4
1
3
299:313
0.250
Last Results with these Odds
Boca Juniors - the odds 1.31 are the expected chance of winning is 70.32%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Regatas Corrientes - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.68%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.