Match Info

BRAZIL: NBB

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Botafogo		Cerrado

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Botafogo
57.1%

Cerrado
42.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.6%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Cerrado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerrado than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerrado could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:76

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The competitors look crappy now.

Botafogo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo Basketball
Brazilian NBB
14.11.23	Botafogo - Brasília Basquete	89:78 ✺
10.11.23	Botafogo - Franca	79:86 ✺
07.11.23	Flamengo - Botafogo	92:69 ✺
04.11.23	Botafogo - Vasco da Gama	62:79 ✺
30.10.23	Caxias do Sul - Botafogo	74:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLLL
- Cerrado Basquete
Brazilian NBB
15.11.23	Vasco da Gama - Cerrado	74:71 ✺
13.11.23	Flamengo - Cerrado	89:71 ✺
09.11.23	Cerrado - Caxias do Sul	77:83 OT ✺
07.11.23	Cerrado - União Corinthians	94:67 ✺
31.10.23	Pato - Cerrado	83:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLWL

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

Botafogo - Cerrado