Match Info

Primera FEB - Round 5

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Burgos		Básquet Coruña

	1	2
	2.9	1.36	Watch
	2.95	1.32	Watch
	2.83	1.33	Watch
	3	1.35
	2.9	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.83)	1.34 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
31.5%

Básquet Coruña
68.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Básquet Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Básquet Coruña than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Burgos - Básquet Coruña Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:91

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Alonso A.	13. Brnovic D.
60. Alonso A.	24. Cremo J.
31. Brown-Ferguson J.	00. Cuevas D.
21. Gil G.	5. Jou Coll G.
35. Seoane R.	44. Thiam A.
Substitutes
24. Huelves A.	6. Braz M.
5. Jackson M.	50. Diaz J.
55. Jofresa G.	21. Ilimane D.
10. Parrado A.	4. Jorgensen P.
8. Terins F.	9. Pacheco C.
13. Vila R.	8. Radoncic D.
25. Zidek J.	22. Varela C.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 1.

Recent performances by Burgos have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Básquet Coruña is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Básquet Coruña may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Básquet Coruña is a strong favorite.

We predict that Básquet Coruña will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 538:575. (average 76.9:82.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Burgos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 223:242. (average 74.3:80.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CB Burgos
Spanish Copa Espana Basketball
22.10.25	CB Zaragoza - Burgos	78:92 ✺
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
18.10.25	Oviedo - Burgos	93:80 ✺
10.10.25	Burgos - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	89:93 ✺
04.10.25	Zamora - Burgos	101:95 ✺
26.09.25	Burgos - Melilla	106:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLW
- Básquet Coruña
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
17.10.25	Básquet Coruña - Palmer Basket	91:75 ✺
11.10.25	Menorca - Básquet Coruña	80:102 ✺
03.10.25	Básquet Coruña - Oviedo	87:72 ✺
28.09.25	Gipuzkoa Basket - Básquet Coruña	63:79 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
15.09.25	Porto - Básquet Coruña	79:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
10.04.24	Básquet Coruña - Burgos	97:91
24.11.23	Burgos - Básquet Coruña	92:103
Club Friendly Basketball
20.09.23	Básquet Coruña - Burgos	82:68
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
22.12.20	Básquet Coruña - Burgos	83:88
10.11.20	Burgos - Básquet Coruña	50:78
16.01.15	Burgos - Básquet Coruña	81:61
17.10.14	Básquet Coruña - Burgos	71:68

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