Match Info
Primera FEB - Round 22Date: 20 February 2026, FridayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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Spain | LaLiga+ |
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Burgos |
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Oviedo |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 171.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
- The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burgos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oviedo than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oviedo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Burgos - Oviedo Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Oviedo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgos (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:87 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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31. Brown-Ferguson J.
| 4. Faure A.
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5. Jackson M.
| 24. Hermanson C.
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10. Parrado A.
| 55. Lobaco R.
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35. Seoane R.
| 14. Shelist D.
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8. Terins F.
| 3. Villar M.
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| Substitutes |
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33. Alonso A.
| 48. Arias Gonzalez J.
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60. Alonso A.
| 11. Copes F. A.
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21. Gil G.
| 41. Cosialls R.
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24. Huelves A.
| 7. Duscak D.
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55. Jofresa G.
| 44. Longarela Gonzalez P.
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13. Vila R.
| 35. Nwaokorie F.
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25. Zidek J.
| 5. Parham G.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 3.Recent form of Burgos has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Oviedo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 861:798. (average 86.1:79.8).Including home matches between the teams, Burgos won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 395:316. (average 98.8:79).
Standings
| | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
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| 17 | Tizona Burgos | 2 | 0 | 2 | 163:195 | 2 |
| 18 | Oviedo | 2 | 0 | 2 | 136:185 | 2 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;