Match Info

Date: 16 May 2021, Sunday


	Burgos		Real Murcia

	1	2
	3.8	1.22
	3.5	1.26
	3.7	1.21
	3.61	1.3
	3.75	1.25
	3.88	1.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (1.72)	1.25 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
25.2%

Real Murcia
74.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-29.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burgos's form might have worsened.

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+29.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Murcia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+29.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burgos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-29.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Murcia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.7%	0%	89.3%

Burgos - Real Murcia Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Murcia will win (25 of 28 users predict this - 89.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.84% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:84

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Preview

Recent matches Burgos is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Murcia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Burgos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Real Murcia have a series of home games.

In this match Real Murcia is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Burgos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 144-188.

Including matches at home between the teams Burgos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 73-86.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CB Burgos
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
09.05.21	Força Lleida CE - Burgos	91:77 ✺
30.04.21	Burgos - Girona	78:69 ✺
23.04.21	Real Canoe - Burgos	90:82 ✺
16.04.21	Burgos - Peñas Huesca	82:75 ✺
10.04.21	Real Murcia - Burgos	102:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWL
- Real Murcia Baloncesto
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
24.04.21	Real Murcia - Cáceres CB	80:64 ✺
17.04.21	Melilla - Real Murcia	61:67 ✺
10.04.21	Real Murcia - Burgos	102:71 ✺
31.03.21	Real Murcia - Melilla	65:68 ✺
27.03.21	Real Murcia - Ourense	81:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
10.04.21	Real Murcia - Burgos	102:71
Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
29.02.20	Burgos - Real Murcia	73:86

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